Match Info

Serie A - Round 28

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 3, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Lecce		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.42	2.92	3.35	Watch
	2.38	2.96	3.71
	2.34	2.92	3.6	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.34	3.03	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.15)	2.96 ↓ (3.02)	3.5 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lecce
40.7%

Draw
32.2%

Cremonese
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

31.5%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

32.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.9%	44.2%	14%

Lecce - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 18 - 41.9%). Cremonese will win (votes: 6 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 44.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.4% – 59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Lecce (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Lecce (1.55) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Lecce (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lecce (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 7 - 50%). Cremonese (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (G) 17. Veiga D. 5. Siebert J. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 29. Coulibaly L. 20. Ramadani Y. 79. Ngom O. 50. Pierotti S. 9. Stulic N. 19. Banda L.	1. Audero E. (G) 55. Folino F. 15. Bianchetti M. 5. Luperto S. 4. Barbieri T. 2. Thorsby M. 29. Maleh Y. 27. Vandeputte J. 3. Pezzella G. 10. Vardy J. 90. Bonazzoli F.
Substitutes
99. Cheddira W. 8. Fofana S. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 16. Gandelman O. 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 36. Marchwinski F. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 13. Perez M. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 23. Sottil R.	38. Bondo W. 23. Ceccherini F. 9. Djuric M. 30. Faye M. 22. Floriani R. 33. Grassi A. 69. Nava L. (G) 77. Okereke D. 32. Payero M. 99. Sanabria A. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 7. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Nicola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Pierotti S. ⚽, Gallo A. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Stulic N. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Bianchetti M. 🟨,
45+4', Siebert J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bianchetti M. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
46', Vardy J. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
46', Vandeputte J. ↓, Payero M. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Bonazzoli F. ⚽, Djuric M. (A),
53', Djuric M. 🟨,
62', Thorsby M. ↓, Okereke D. ↑,
65', Stulic N. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
74', Pezzella G. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
79', Banda L. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
79', Pierotti S. ↓, Jean G. ↑,
89', Coulibaly L. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
90+7', Luperto S. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2.

Lecce has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cremonese is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lecce is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lecce: Camarda F. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Baschirotto F. (Muscle Injury) Collocolo M. (Injury) Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury) Terracciano F. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Gandelman O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lecce: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6

Last Results with these Odds

Lecce - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 44.24%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
28.02.26	Como - Lecce	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lecce - Udinese	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Torino - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWL
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
01.03.26	Cremonese - Milan	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Roma - Cremonese	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cremonese - Genoa	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Atalanta - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Cremonese - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Cremonese - Lecce	2:0
04.02.23	Cremonese - Lecce	0:2
02.10.22	Lecce - Cremonese	1:1
Italian Serie B
23.01.22	Lecce - Cremonese	2:1
22.08.21	Cremonese - Lecce	3:0
13.02.21	Cremonese - Lecce	1:2
21.10.20	Lecce - Cremonese	2:2

Upcoming Matches