Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lecce		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.98	3.05	2.58	Watch
	3.09	3.15	2.69
	5.73	1.34	6.89	Watch
	3	3.22	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.78)	2.77 ↓ (3.2)	3.48 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
30.4%

Draw
38.8%

Sassuolo
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30.6%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sassuolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.5%	20.6%	52.9%

Lecce - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 37.5% – 71.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 1 - 20%). Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lecce (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sassuolo (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Sassuolo (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 29. Coulibaly L. 20. Ramadani Y. 10. Berisha M. 50. Pierotti S. 9. Stulic N. 7. Tete Morente	49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 19. Romagna F. 3. Doig J. 40. Vranckx A. 18. Matic N. 42. Thorstvedt K. 10. Berardi D. (C) 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.
Substitutes
19. Banda L. 22. Camarda F. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 14. Helgason T. J. 77. Kaba M. 21. Kouassi C. 80. Kovac N. 93. Maleh Y. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 75. Pierret B. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 5. Siebert J.	5. Cande F. 9. Cheddira W. 25. Coulibaly W. 20. Fadera A. 44. Iannoni E. 90. Kone I. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 26. Odenthal C. 77. Pierini N. 14. Skjellerup L. 13. Turati S. (G) 7. Volpato C. 16. Zacchi G. (G)
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
57', Vranckx A. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
64', Stulic N. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
64', Coulibaly L. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
74', Romagna F. ↓, Cande F. ↑,
74', Pinamonti A. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
74', Pierotti S. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
82', Berardi D. 🟨,
84', Veiga D. 🟨,
86', Tete Morente ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
86', Berisha M. ↓, Pierret B. ↑,
90+4', Falcone W. 🟨,
90+6', Doig J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 1.

Lecce has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sassuolo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sassuolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Perez M. (Illness) Rafia H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Muharemovic T. (Injury) Paz Y. (Calf Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Pierret B. (Thigh Injury) Tete Morente (Calf Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
04.10.25	Parma - Lecce	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lecce - Bologna	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
23.09.25	Milan - Lecce	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.09.25	Lecce - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Atalanta - Lecce	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLLL
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
03.10.25	Verona - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sassuolo - Udinese	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Como - Sassuolo	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sassuolo - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Lecce - Sassuolo	0:2
Italian Serie A
21.04.24	Sassuolo - Lecce	0:3
06.10.23	Lecce - Sassuolo	1:1
25.02.23	Lecce - Sassuolo	0:1
20.08.22	Sassuolo - Lecce	1:0
04.07.20	Sassuolo - Lecce	4:2
03.11.19	Lecce - Sassuolo	2:2

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