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Sassuolo - Lazio

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Match Info

  • Serie A - Round 9
  • Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Mapei Stadium โ€“ Cittร  del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
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    Sassuolo Lazio
    Sassuolo Lazio
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.67 ↑
    (2.83)    		 3.66 ↑
    (3.47)    		 1.99 ↓
    (2.47)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Sassuolo
    26%    		Draw
    26.1%    		Lazio
    48%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    33.8% 27.6% 38.7%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    34.1% 27.8% 38.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sassuolo's form might have worsened.
  • Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lazio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sassuolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lazio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    9.3% 18.6% 72.1%

    Sassuolo - Lazio Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 4 - 9.3%). Lazio will win (votes: 31 - 72.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 58.7% โ€“ 85.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.29) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • BTTS - no (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • New Consensus by Tipsters:
    • BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 100%) โญ Best Value.
    • AH -0.5 - Lazio (2.00) (votes: 89%) โญ Best Value.
    • 1X2 - Lazio (2.15) (votes: 81%) โญ Best Value.
    • BTTS - Lazio & Yes (3.60) (votes: 79%) โญ Best Value.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    80. ItalyTurati S. (G)
    46. ItalyCinquegrano S.
    26. NetherlandsOdenthal C.
    15. CroatiaCaleta-Car D.
      3. ScotlandDoig J.
    42. NorwayThorstvedt K.
    35. ItalyLipani L.
    50. FranceBakola D.
    10. ItalyBerardi D. (C)
    94. ItalyEsposito Se.
    45. FranceLauriente A.
    		35. GreeceMandas C. (G)
    15. ItalyFloriani R.
    37. CroatiaSutalo J.
      2. PortugalLeite D.
    17. PortugalTavares N.
    16. ItalyFrattesi D.
    21. MoroccoBelahyane R.
    24. NetherlandsTaylor K.
    11. DenmarkIsaksen G.
    14. NetherlandsNoslin T.
    10. ItalyZaccagni M. (C)
    Substitutes
    17. MontenegroAdzic V.
      9. ScotlandBowie K.
      5. Guinea-BissauCande F.
    25. ArgentinaDominguez B.
      8. ItalyGhion A.
    21. IndonesiaIdzes J.
    18. SerbiaMatic N.
    49. KosovoMuric A. (G)
    33. SpainObrador R.
    77. ItalyPierini N.
    12. ItalySatalino G. (G)
    55. GhanaSulemana I.
    20. BelgiumVan der Brempt I.
      7. AustraliaVolpato C.
      6. PolandWalukiewicz S.
    		33. BrazilBordon R.
    22. ItalyCancellieri M.
    32. ItalyCataldi D.
      7. NigeriaDele-Bashiru F.
      5. NetherlandsDoekhi D.
    71. ItalyFarcomeni V.
    29. ItalyLazzari M.
    40. ItalyMotta E. (G)
    23. SpainPedraza A.
      3. ItalyPellegrini Lu.
      9. ItalyPinamonti A.
    25. DenmarkProvstgaard O.
    28. PolandPrzyborek A.
    47. ItalyRenzetti D. (G)
    63. ItalySerra F.
    Coaches
         ItalyAquilani A.
    		     ItalyGattuso G.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 4)
    • 2', 0 - 1, Taylor K. ⚽,
    • 7', 1 - 1, Thorstvedt K. ⚽, Doig J. (A),
    • 13', 1 - 2, Isaksen G. ⚽, Zaccagni M. (A),
    • 16', 1 - 3, Floriani R. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
    • 28', Taylor K. 🟨,
    • 31', Thorstvedt K. 🟥,
    • 43', 2 - 3, Esposito Se. ⚽, Cinquegrano S. (A),
    • 45+1', 2 - 4, Zaccagni M. ⚽, Isaksen G. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
    • 46', Taylor K. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
    • 46', Bakola D. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
    • 50', Zaccagni M. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 54', Berardi D. 🟨,
    • 55', 2 - 5, Noslin T. ⚽, Zaccagni M. (A),
    • 61', Frattesi D. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 62', Floriani R. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
    • 63', Isaksen G. ↓, Cancellieri M. ↑,
    • 63', Tavares N. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
    • 63', Esposito Se. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
    • 63', Berardi D. ↓, Cande F. ↑,
    • 65', 2 - 6, Noslin T. ⚽, Dele-Bashiru F. (A),
    • 70', Lauriente A. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
    • 71', Noslin T. ↓, Pinamonti A. ↑,
    • 82', Caleta-Car D. ↓, Walukiewicz S. ↑,

    Preview

  • A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 14th and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 1.
  • Recent results have been tough for Sassuolo (last 5 matches: 1 win).
  • Lazio is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
  • Recently, Lazio has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
  • A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lazio holding a narrow advantage.
  • Confirmed absences for Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Idzes J. (Muscle Injury) Kone I. (Broken Leg) Leysen F. (Knee Injury) Paz Y. (Knee Injury).
  • Confirmed absences for Lazio: Furlanetto A. (Knee Injury) Gudmundsson A. (Shoulder Injury) Marusic A. (Muscle Injury) Rovella N. (Calf Injury).
  • Doubtful / questionable for Lazio: Pinamonti A. (Illness).
  • In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sassuolo has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:34 (averaging 1.1:1.7 goals per game).
  • Specifically in home fixtures for Sassuolo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 8:13 goals (averaging 0.9:1.4 per game).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    2Lazio981022:71525
    15Sassuolo922514:22-88

    Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
    Lazio: 5.06% Sassuolo: 0.18%
    Last Results with these Odds

    Lazio - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.65%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Sassuolo
    Italian Serie A
    24.10.26 Como - Sassuolo 2:0 ✺
    16.10.26 Frosinone - Sassuolo 4:2 ✺
    11.10.26 Sassuolo - Milan 1:1 ✺
    18.09.26 Monza - Sassuolo 2:1 ✺
    13.09.26 Sassuolo - Juventus 3:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5
    LLTLW
    - SS Lazio
    Italian Serie A
    24.10.26 Lazio - Parma 2:1 ✺
    18.10.26 Juventus - Lazio 0:3 ✺
    11.10.26 Lazio - Monza 3:1 ✺
    Club Friendly
    03.10.26 Lazio - Juve Stabia 3:3
    27.09.26 Lazio - Arezzo 2:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1
    WWWTW
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    09.03.26 Lazio - Sassuolo 2:1
    14.09.25 Sassuolo - Lazio 1:0
    26.05.24 Lazio - Sassuolo 1:1
    21.10.23 Sassuolo - Lazio 0:2
    03.05.23 Lazio - Sassuolo 2:0
    15.01.23 Sassuolo - Lazio 0:2
    02.04.22 Lazio - Sassuolo 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - US Sassuolo
    Italian Serie A
    02.11.26 Sassuolo - Fiorentina ✺
    - SS Lazio
    Italian Serie A
    01.11.26 Lazio - Cagliari ✺

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