Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3, Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Sassuolo		Udinese

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.38	3.2	3.15
	2.42	3.22	3.4
	1.53	3.98	6.22	Watch
	2.49	3.16	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)	3.33 ↑ (3.27)	3.86 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
44.4%

Draw
29.8%

Udinese
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	47.1%	35.3%

Sassuolo - Udinese Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Udinese will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.3% – 63.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 10%). Udinese (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sassuolo (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 3 - 25%). Udinese (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 40. Vranckx A. 18. Matic N. 90. Kone I. 10. Berardi D. (C) 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.	90. Sava R. (G) 16. Palma M. 31. Kristensen T. 28. Solet O. 59. Zanoli A. 24. Piotrowski J. 8. Karlstrom J. (C) 14. Atta A. 33. Zemura J. 10. Zaniolo N. 9. Davis K.
Substitutes
11. Boloca D. 5. Cande F. 9. Cheddira W. 25. Coulibaly W. 20. Fadera A. 44. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 15. Pieragnolo E. 19. Romagna F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 14. Skjellerup L. 42. Thorstvedt K. 13. Turati S. (G) 7. Volpato C.	13. Bertola N. 29. Camara A. 19. Ehizibue K. 32. Ekkelenkamp J. 2. Goglichidze S. 7. Gueye I. 27. Kabasele C. 11. Kamara H. 4. Lovric S. 38. Miller L. 77. Modesto R. 93. Padelli D. (G) 41. Venuti G. (G) 6. Zarraga O.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Runjaic K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Lauriente A. ⚽, Berardi D. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Kone I. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
18', Piotrowski J. 🟨,
45+3', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Palma M. ↓, Ehizibue K. ↑,
46', Piotrowski J. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Davis K. ⚽,
58', Lauriente A. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
58', Vranckx A. ↓, Thorstvedt K. ↑,
61', Ehizibue K. 🟨,
67', Zanoli A. ↓, Ekkelenkamp J. ↑,
76', Zaniolo N. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
79', Kone I. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
80', Walukiewicz S. ↓, Coulibaly W. ↑,
80', Atta A. ↓, Lovric S. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Iannoni E. ⚽, Fadera A. (A),
86', Pinamonti A. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 0.

Sassuolo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Udinese is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Udinese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sassuolo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Paz Y. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Udinese: Bayo V. (Knee Injury) Bravo I. (International duty) Okoye M. (Suspended)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Como - Sassuolo	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sassuolo - Lazio	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Cremonese - Sassuolo	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Sassuolo - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLL
- Udinese Calcio
Coppa Italia
23.09.25	Udinese - Palermo	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Udinese - Milan	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Pisa - Udinese	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Inter Milan - Udinese	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Udinese - Verona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
01.04.24	Sassuolo - Udinese	1:1
17.12.23	Udinese - Sassuolo	2:2
12.02.23	Udinese - Sassuolo	2:2
11.09.22	Sassuolo - Udinese	1:3
07.05.22	Sassuolo - Udinese	1:1
07.11.21	Udinese - Sassuolo	3:2
06.03.21	Udinese - Sassuolo	2:0

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