Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 15

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Giua A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Brescia		Bari

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.65
	2.65	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.76	3.19	2.8
	2.71	3.2	2.71	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.6
	2.65	3.36	2.63	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.71)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	2.69 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
35.3%

Draw
29.7%

Bari
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

29.5%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

30.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	50%	10%

Brescia - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Bari will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 19. Corrado N. 15. Cistana A. (C) 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 26. Bertagnoli M. 4. Paghera F. 39. Besaggio M. 23. Galazzi N. 11. Moncini G. 7. Juric A.	1. Radunovic B. (G) 25. Pucino R. 44. Simic L. 3. Mantovani V. 7. Oliveri A. 8. Benali A. 4. Maita M. (C) 93. Dorval M. 19. Falletti C. 9. Novakovich A. 20. Sibilli G.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 12. Avella M. (G) 9. Bianchi F. 25. Bisoli D. 8. Bjarnason B. 29. Borrelli G. 16. Buhagiar T. 24. Dickmann L. 20. Nuamah P. 27. Olzer G. 32. Papetti A.	10. Bellomo N. 27. Favasuli C. 99. Favilli A. 15. Lasagna K. 28. Lella N. 17. Maiello R. 18. Manzari G. 55. Obaretin N. 22. Pissardo M. (G) 94. Saco C. 11. Sgarbi L. 13. Tripaldelli A.
Coaches
Maran R.	Longo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Galazzi N. ⚽,
16', Juric A. 🟨,
21', Adorni D. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Dorval M. ⚽, Maita M. (A),
35', Paghera F. 🟨,
38', Falletti C. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Paghera F. ↓, Dickmann L. ↑,
56', Falletti C. 🟨,
58', Falletti C. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
60', Sibilli G. 🟨,
65', Moncini G. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
66', Juric A. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
67', Pucino R. 🟨,
74', Novakovich A. ↓, Sgarbi L. ↑,
74', Sibilli G. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
74', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
78', Galazzi N. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
90+2', Dorval M. ↓, Favasuli C. ↑,
90+2', Maita M. ↓, Lella N. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 0.

Recent matches Brescia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bari is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There are questionable in Brescia: Bisoli D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bari: Lasagna K. (Calf Injury) Vicari F. (Muscle Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Brescia won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:32 (average 1.2:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.4:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Brescia - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.9%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
23.11.24	Juve Stabia - Brescia	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Sampdoria - Brescia	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Brescia - Spezia	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Cesena - Brescia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWTL
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
24.11.24	Bari - Cittadella	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Salernitana - Bari	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Bari - Reggiana	2:2 ✺
29.10.24	Bari - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
25.10.24	Spezia - Bari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.05.24	Bari - Brescia	2:0
29.10.23	Brescia - Bari	1:2
25.02.23	Brescia - Bari	0:2
01.10.22	Bari - Brescia	6:2
24.03.18	Bari - Brescia	3:0
23.10.17	Brescia - Bari	2:1
27.02.17	Bari - Brescia	2:0

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