Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 2

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday


	Lecco		Spezia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2
	3.5	3.5	2	Watch
	3.93	3.55	2.04
	4	3.52	2.02
	3.6	3.4	1.91
	3.62	3.5	2	Watch
	3.5	3.55	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.33)	3.52 ↑ (3.34)	2 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
25.9%

Draw
26.9%

Spezia
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

28.4%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

28.1%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Lecco - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Spezia will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 32. Lepore F. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 8. Sersanti A. 44. Guglielmotti D. 27. Ionita A. 99. Buso N. 90. Novakovich A. 21. Crociata G.	69. Dragowski B. (G) 27. Amian K. 23. Muhl L. 77. Bertola N. 7. Elia S. 80. Kouda R. 8. Ekdal A. 13. Reca A. 10. Esposito Sa. 24. Moro L. 48. Antonucci M.
Substitutes
80. Agostinelli V. 13. Battistini M. 68. Boci B. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 20. Donati F. 9. Eusepi U. 83. Lemmens M. 34. Marrone L. 18. Pinzauti L. 22. Saracco U. (G) 16. Tenkorang J. 11. Tordini M.	36. Candelari P. 29. Cassata F. 21. Corradini G. 26. Cugnata C. 9. Esposito F. 19. Krollis R. 4. Moutinho J. 15. Pietra N. 5. Serpe L. 99. Verde D. 1. Zoet J. (G) 40. Zovko P. (G)
Coaches
Bonazzoli E.	Alvini M.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Lecco is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spezia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Spezia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lecco have a series of guest games.

Spezia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
05.11.23	Reggiana - Lecco	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Palermo - Lecco	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Pisa - Lecco	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Lecco - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Nuova Cosenza - Lecco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWWLL
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
05.11.23	Cremonese - Spezia	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.11.23	Sassuolo - Spezia	1:0 penalties ✺
Italian Serie B
28.10.23	Spezia - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
23.10.23	Palermo - Spezia	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Spezia - Pisa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTTT

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