Match Info

Serie B - Round 33

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	LAB Channel
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Sport TV1
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus
World	Onefootball


	Bari		Modena

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.81	Watch
	4	3.5	1.85
	4.15	3.3	1.85	Watch
	4.48	3.5	1.93
	4.24	3.49	1.85	Watch
	3.9	3.25	1.91
	4.13	3.42	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 (4.18)	3.39 ↓ (3.42)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
22.4%

Draw
27.6%

Modena
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

27.3%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

26.4%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bari have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Bari - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Modena will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 51. Cistana A. 26. Odenthal C. 13. Mantovani V. (C) 30. Mane M. 80. Artioli F. 18. Maggiore G. 28. Piscopo K. 19. Esteves T. 17. Rao E. 11. Moncini G.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 28. Adorni D. 20. Nieling B. 7. Zampano F. 71. Wiafe S. 16. Gerli F. (C) 8. Santoro S. 98. Zanimacchia L. 99. De Luca M. 9. Gliozzi E.
Substitutes
27. Braunoder M. 20. Cavuoti N. 90. Cuni M. 93. Dorval M. 9. Gytkjaer C. 43. Nikolaou D. 8. Pagano R. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 37. Stabile G. 66. Traore D. 29. Verreth M.	10. Ambrosino G. 2. Beyuku G. 29. Cotali M. 92. Defrel G. 25. Dellavalle A. 90. Imputato A. 13. Laidani A. (G) 17. Massolin Y. 11. Mendes P. 19. Nador S. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 18. Pyyhtia N.
Coaches
Longo M.	Sottil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Moncini G. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 2 - 0, Adorni D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wiafe S. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
46', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
48', Gliozzi E. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
59', Maggiore G. 🟨,
62', Artioli F. ↓, Braunoder M. ↑,
69', Moncini G. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
69', Rao E. ↓, Dorval M. ↑,
75', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
79', Adorni D. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Cuni M. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
87', Esteves T. ↓, Verreth M. ↑,
87', Maggiore G. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
88', Gerli F. 🟨,
90', 3 - 1, Ambrosino G. ⚽, Beyuku G. (A),
90+7', Mantovani V. 🟨,
90+7', Massolin Y. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Modena has had a series of home games.

In this match, Modena is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bari: Bellomo N. (Red Card) Burgio R. (Inactive) Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) Mantovani V. (Inactive) Sibilli G. (Suspended) Verreth M. (Injury)

There will not play in Modena: Pyyhtia N. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Modena: Zanimacchia L. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bari won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
22.03.26	Bari - Carrarese	0:3 ✺
18.03.26	Frosinone - Bari	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bari - Reggiana	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Pescara - Bari	4:0 ✺
04.03.26	Bari - Empoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
21.03.26	Modena - Mantova	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Modena - Spezia	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Modena - Cesena	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Virtus Entella - Modena	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Modena - Padova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.09.25	Modena - Bari	3:0
25.04.25	Bari - Modena	1:2
23.08.24	Modena - Bari	2:1
01.04.24	Modena - Bari	1:1
21.10.23	Bari - Modena	1:1
06.05.23	Modena - Bari	1:1
11.12.22	Bari - Modena	4:1

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