Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 12

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Bari		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	4.2	Watch
	2	3.2	3.8
	2	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.06	3.15	4.57
	2.07	3.06	4.57
	1.95	3.2	3.7
	1.95	3.28	4.1	Watch
	1.98	3.05	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.12)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	4.11 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
47.3%

Draw
29.7%

Ascoli
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29.4%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Bari - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Brenno (G) 25. Pucino R. 23. Vicari F. 21. Zuzek Z. 93. Dorval M. 44. Acampora G. 26. Koutsoupias I. 31. Ricci G. 20. Sibilli G. 18. Diaw D. 9. Nasti M.	1. Barosi D. (G) 40. Bayeye B. J. 55. Bellusci G. 14. Quaranta D. 54. Falasco N. 10. Caligara F. 18. Di Tacchio F. 8. Giovane S. 23. Falzerano M. 30. Nestorovski I. 99. Rodriguez P.
Substitutes
11. Achik I. 28. Akpa-Chuwuku H. 49. Aramu M. 16. Astrologo A. 10. Bellomo N. 24. Edjouma M. 19. Faggi F. 99. Frabotta G. 4. Maita M. 5. Matino E. 77. Morachioli G. 38. Pissardo M. (G)	17. Adjapong C. 97. Amato D. (G) 12. Bolletta L. (G) 15. D'Uffizi S. 5. Gnahore E. 3. Haveri K. 28. Manzari G. 73. Masini P. 90. Mendes P. 20. Milanese T. 7. Millico V. 96. Rossi E.
Coaches
Marino P.	Viali W.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Bari is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bari won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
29.10.23	Brescia - Bari	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Bari - Modena	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Reggiana - Bari	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Bari - Como	1:1 ✺
27.09.23	Parma - Bari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTTL
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
28.10.23	Ascoli - Parma	1:3 ✺
21.10.23	Lecco - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Ascoli - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Brescia - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
26.09.23	Ascoli - Ternana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.03.23	Ascoli - Bari	0:1
15.10.22	Bari - Ascoli	0:2
28.03.18	Ascoli - Bari	1:0
28.10.17	Bari - Ascoli	3:0
14.05.17	Bari - Ascoli	0:1
24.12.16	Ascoli - Bari	1:1
19.04.16	Ascoli - Bari	0:1

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