Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Lecco		Parma

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.91	Watch
	4	3.6	1.85
	4	3.5	1.87	Watch
	4.38	3.73	1.89
	4.39	3.73	1.87
	4.2	3.6	1.73
	4	3.68	1.85	Watch
	3.95	3.55	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.4)	3.62 ↑ (3.1)	1.86 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
22.9%

Draw
26.1%

Parma
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

26.8%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

24.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	20%	66.7%

Lecco - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Lecco will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Parma will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 83. Lemmens M. 2. Celjak V. 34. Marrone L. 17. Caporale A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 8. Sersanti A. 27. Ionita A. 32. Lepore F. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 4. Balogh B. 39. Circati A. 77. Di Chiara G. 27. Hernani 8. Estevez N. 19. Sohm S. 10. Bernabe A. 7. Benedyczak A. 13. Bonny A.
Substitutes
80. Agostinelli V. 13. Battistini M. 6. Bianconi A. 73. Di Stefano L. 20. Donati F. 9. Eusepi U. 96. Galli G. 44. Guglielmotti D. 18. Pinzauti L. 22. Saracco U. (G) 16. Tenkorang J. 11. Tordini M.	60. Amoran P. 14. Ansaldi C. 11. Begic T. 23. Camara D. 9. Charpentier G. 17. Colak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 20. Hainaut A. 61. Haj Mohamed A. 22. Turk M. (G) 47. Zagaritis V.
Coaches
Bonazzoli E.	Pecchia F.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Lecco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Parma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Parma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Parma is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
08.11.23	Lecco - Spezia	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Reggiana - Lecco	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Palermo - Lecco	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Pisa - Lecco	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Lecco - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 TTWWL
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
05.11.23	Parma - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.11.23	Lecce - Parma	2:4 ✺
Italian Serie B
28.10.23	Ascoli - Parma	1:3 ✺
20.10.23	Parma - Como	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Venezia - Parma	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWL

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