Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Referee: Di Mario L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio


	Lecco		Brescia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.90	3.20	1.80
	3.80	3.00	1.88	Watch
	4.41	3.35	1.89
	4.1	3.25	1.87	Watch
	4.35	3.15	1.87
	4.15	3.60	1.89	Watch
	3.95	3.15	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (4.05)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
22.5%

Draw
28.3%

Brescia
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

27.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

27.2%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Lecco - Brescia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 45. Rizzo M. 4. Comi P. 5. Arena M. 11. Urso O. 6. Mallamo A. 21. Metlika A. (C) 99. Manetti G. 17. Pellegrino G. 10. Capello A. 15. Murillo A.	43. Zacchi G. (G) 4. Sorensen F. 28. Silvestri L. 82. Armati L. 15. Casasola T. 6. Mercati A. 20. Zennaro M. 24. Boci B. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Crespi V.
Substitutes
78. Anastasini J. 8. Bonaiti S. 13. Bordoni T. 71. Caca K. 9. Casarotto M. 1. Dalmasso J. (G) 30. Fasan N. 19. Litti M. 20. Mihali L. 72. Polonioli M. 27. Triacca D. 12. Zouaghi T. (G)	72. Armanini F. 26. Frigerio M. R. 66. Gori S. (G) 27. Lamesta A. 1. Liverani L. (G) 14. Mallamo A. 5. Pasini N. 30. Pellegrini J. 91. Spagnoli A.
Coaches
Valente F.	Corini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Armati L. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Capello A. ⚽,
19', Zennaro M. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
25', Crespi V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Armati L. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
61', Mercati A. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
61', Crespi V. ↓, Pellegrini J. ↑,
61', Urso O. 🟨,
61', Balestrero D. 🟨,
62', Spagnoli A. 🟨,
63', Silvestri L. 🟨,
63', Murillo A. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
63', Pellegrino G. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
64', Capello A. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
70', Urso O. ↓, Anastasini J. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Casasola T. ⚽, Boci B. (A),
77', Manetti G. ↓, Litti M. ↑,
79', Litti M. 🟨,
89', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Lamesta A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Casarotto M. ⚽, Bonaiti S. (A),
90+2', Casarotto M. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Spagnoli A. ⚽, Casasola T. (A),

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (Quarter - finals)).

In recent outings, Lecco has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Brescia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Brescia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Brescia is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Lecco has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lecco against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	8	4	4	0	14:6	8	16
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Brescia - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.69%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
26.09.26	Cittadella - Lecco	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lecco - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Desenzano Calvina - Lecco	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Trento - Lecco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWWL
- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
27.09.26	Brescia - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Alcione - Brescia	0:4 ✺
17.09.26	Brescia - Treviso	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Trento - Brescia	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Brescia - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.26	Brescia - Lecco	3:1
19.10.25	Lecco - Brescia	0:1

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