Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Lecco		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.20	3.20
	1.82	3.10	3.85	Watch
	2.12	3.34	3.58
	2.07	3.24	3.39	Watch
	2.06	3.30	3.40
	2.02	3.13	3.41	Watch
	2.01	3.15	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.73)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	3.48 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
45.3%

Draw
28.4%

Pergolettese
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

27.7%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lecco's form might have worsened.

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pergolettese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lecco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pergolettese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lecco - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 45. Rizzo M. 5. Arena M. 24. Sidler S. 11. Urso O. 6. Mallamo A. 21. Metlika A. 8. Bonaiti S. (C) 99. Manetti G. 17. Pellegrino G. 30. Fasan N.	22. Doldi F. (G) 76. Roversi L. 73. Bassi E. 15. Dell'Orco C. 70. Antolini J. 20. Tremolada M. 4. Arini M. (C) 10. Ferrandino D. 8. Stronati R. 77. Orlandi A. 9. Rossetti M.
Substitutes
13. Bordoni T. 10. Capello A. 9. Casarotto M. 4. Comi P. 1. Dalmasso J. (G) 83. Fama S. 19. Litti M. 20. Mihali L. 79. Moutassime A. 15. Murillo A. 3. Sinn L. 27. Triacca D.	12. Asperti A. (G) 18. Avena P. 30. Berretta A. 1. Cordaro L. (G) 11. Corti N. 14. De Marchi M. 21. Evangelista C. 90. Giroletti M. J. 80. Jaouhari Z. 7. Pala A. 24. Pavesi D. 5. Silvestri T. 17. Tamagni M. 49. Zaia E.
Coaches
Valente F.	Giosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Manetti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Manetti G. ↓, Litti M. ↑,
46', Rizzo M. ↓, Triacca D. ↑,
61', Bassi E. ↓, Pala A. ↑,
61', Orlandi A. ↓, Jaouhari Z. ↑,
64', Fasan N. ↓, Moutassime A. ↑,
65', Jaouhari Z. 🟨,
74', Rossetti M. ↓, De Marchi M. ↑,
76', Pellegrino G. ↓, Murillo A. ↑,
78', Moutassime A. ↓, Capello A. ↑,
82', Roversi L. 🟨,
88', Ferrandino D. ↓, Evangelista C. ↑,
88', Antolini J. ↓, Zaia E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17th in the Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Lecco is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Lecco has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:17 (averaging 1.5:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lecco against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 13:3 goals (averaging 1.9:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Pergolettese	9	2	5	2	5:6	-1	11
15	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.26	Desenzano Calvina - Lecco	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Trento - Lecco	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Treviso - Lecco	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Lecco - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLT
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
17.09.26	Pergolettese - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Novara - Pergolettese	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Juventus U23 - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Pergolettese - Brescia	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cittadella - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.26	Pergolettese - Lecco	3:0
21.12.25	Lecco - Pergolettese	1:0
01.03.25	Pergolettese - Lecco	0:0
20.10.24	Lecco - Pergolettese	1:0
08.01.23	Pergolettese - Lecco	4:2
10.09.22	Lecco - Pergolettese	2:0
06.03.22	Lecco - Pergolettese	3:0

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