Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 21

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Referee: Gualtieri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Lecco		Pisa

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.4
	2.85	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.86	3.3	2.69
	3.01	3.14	2.66
	2.75	3.2	2.38
	2.91	3.14	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)	2.53 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
32.7%

Draw
30%

Pisa
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	70%	30%

Lecco - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 13. Battistini M. 2. Celjak V. 83. Lemmens M. 32. Lepore F. 21. Crociata G. 8. Sersanti A. 27. Ionita A. 73. Di Stefano L. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.	1. Nicolas A. (G) 33. Calabresi A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 19. Esteves T. 8. Marin M. 44. Veloso M. 10. Torregrossa E. 28. Arena A. 77. D'Alessandro M. 9. Bonfanti N.
Substitutes
6. Bianconi A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 9. Eusepi U. 26. Frigerio M. R. 96. Galli G. 7. Giudici L. 44. Guglielmotti D. 28. Louakima C. 34. Marrone L. 10. Salcedo E. 11. Salomaa H. 22. Saracco U. (G)	42. Barbieri T. 30. De Vitis A. 6. Hermannsson H. 22. Loria L. (G) 26. Masucci G. 17. Mlakar J. 32. Moreo S. 16. Nagy A. 36. Piccinini G. 15. Toure I. 7. Tramoni L. 23. Vignato E.
Coaches
Bonazzoli E.	Aquilani A.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 13).

Lecco is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pisa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lecco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lecco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
12.01.24	Catanzaro - Lecco	5:3 ✺
26.12.23	Lecco - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Venezia - Lecco	2:2 ✺
17.12.23	Lecco - Ternana	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Sampdoria - Lecco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTLL
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
13.01.24	Pisa - Reggiana	2:2 ✺
26.12.23	Ternana - Pisa	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Pisa - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Palermo - Pisa	3:2 ✺
09.12.23	Catanzaro - Pisa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.10.23	Pisa - Lecco	1:2

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