Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 19

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Referee: Sacchi G. (Ita)


	Ternana		Pisa

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.8
	2.4	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.65	3.16	3.09
	2.65	3.06	3.09
	2.38	3.25	2.75
	2.42	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.44	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.36)	3.18 ↓ (3.23)	2.92 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
37.9%

Draw
29.7%

Pisa
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	50%	27.8%

Ternana - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Pisa will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 23. Diakite S. 4. Sorensen F. 44. Lucchesi L. 15. Casasola T. 71. Luperini G. 25. Labojko J. 3. Celli A. 10. Falletti C. (C) 28. Di Stefano F. 9. Raimondo A.	1. Nicolas A. (G) 42. Barbieri T. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 19. Esteves T. 36. Piccinini G. 8. Marin M. 7. Tramoni L. 28. Arena A. 77. D'Alessandro M. 32. Moreo S.
Substitutes
19. Capuano M. 91. Corrado N. 20. Della Salandra E. 65. Dionisi F. 27. Favasuli C. 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 30. Garau O. 13. Mantovani V. 73. Marginean I. 76. Novelli F. (G) 66. Pyyhtia N. 33. Travaglini C.	30. De Vitis A. 9. Gliozzi E. 6. Hermannsson H. 3. Leverbe M. 22. Loria L. (G) 26. Masucci G. 16. Nagy A. 10. Torregrossa E. 15. Toure I. 27. Valoti M. 44. Veloso M. 23. Vignato E.
Coaches
Breda R.	Aquilani A.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 1.

Ternana is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Pisa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ternana won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Parma - Ternana	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Lecco - Ternana	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Ternana - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Ternana	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Ternana - Palermo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWT
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Pisa - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Palermo - Pisa	3:2 ✺
09.12.23	Catanzaro - Pisa	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Pisa - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Pisa - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.04.23	Ternana - Pisa	2:1
26.11.22	Pisa - Ternana	3:1
12.02.22	Pisa - Ternana	0:0
11.09.21	Ternana - Pisa	1:4
21.01.17	Pisa - Ternana	1:0
07.09.16	Ternana - Pisa	1:0

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