Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 20

Date: 12 January 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Catanzaro		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.4
	1.8	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.5	5.11
	1.81	3.49	5.2
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.8	3.62	4.44	Watch
	1.75	3.55	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)	3.51 ↓ (3.66)	4.63 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
52.8%

Draw
26.9%

Lecco
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

26.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.4%	19.2%	15.4%

Catanzaro - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Lecco will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fulignati A. (G) 77. Katseris P. 23. Brighenti N. 14. Scognamillo S. 32. Krajnc L. 24. Sounas D. 18. Ghion A. 21. Pompetti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 28. Biasci T. 70. Ambrosino G.	1. Melgrati R. (G) 32. Lepore F. 2. Celjak V. 6. Bianconi A. 17. Caporale A. 21. Crociata G. 27. Ionita A. 8. Sersanti A. 99. Buso N. 90. Novakovich A. 73. Di Stefano L.
Substitutes
30. Belpanno C. 22. Borrelli E. (G) 7. D'Andrea L. 98. Donnarumma A. 9. Iemmello P. 5. Krastev D. 33. Oliveri A. 20. Pontisso S. 16. Sala A. (G) 92. Situm M. 19. Stoppa M. 8. Verna L. 72. Veroli D.	13. Battistini M. 12. Bonadeo L. (G) 9. Eusepi U. 96. Galli G. 7. Giudici L. 44. Guglielmotti D. 83. Lemmens M. 28. Louakima C. 34. Marrone L. 10. Salcedo E. 11. Salomaa H. 22. Saracco U. (G)
Coaches
Vivarini V.	Bonazzoli E.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Catanzaro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Reggiana - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Catanzaro - Brescia	2:3 ✺
16.12.23	Ascoli - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Catanzaro - Pisa	2:0 ✺
01.12.23	Palermo - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLLWW
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Lecco - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Venezia - Lecco	2:2 ✺
17.12.23	Lecco - Ternana	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Sampdoria - Lecco	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Lecco - Bari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.09.23	Lecco - Catanzaro	3:4

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