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Current Win Probability
Catanzaro 26.9%
Draw 31.2%
Pisa 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
30.9%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
33.4%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Catanzaro's form might have worsened.
Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pisa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pisa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Catanzaro - Pisa Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Pisa will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% โ 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 14. Scognamillo S. 4. Antonini Lui M. 6. Bonini F. 17. Brignola E. 21. Pompetti M. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 92. Situm M. 90. Pittarello F. 9. Iemmello P. (C)
47. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 15. Toure I. 36. Piccinini G. 6. Marin M. 3. Angori S. 30. Arena A. 32. Moreo S. 45. Lind A.
Substitutes
28. Biasci T. 23. Brighenti N. 45. Buso N. 84. Cassandro T. 27. Ceresoli A. 80. Coulibaly M. 70. D'Alessandro M. 25. Gelmi L. (G) 19. La Mantia A. 24. Pagano R. 3. Quagliata G. 29. Seck D.
28. Abildgaard O. 9. Bonfanti N. 33. Calabresi A. 8. Hojholt M. 74. Jevsenak Z. 22. Loria L. (G) 19. Meister H. 7. Mlakar J. 80. Morutan O. 17. Rus A. 13. Sussi C. 11. Tramoni M.
Coaches
Caserta F.
Inzaghi F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Bonfanti G. 🟨,
27', Scognamillo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Pittarello F. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
56', Brignola E. ↓, Quagliata G. ↑,
69', Pompetti M. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
69', Arena A. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
69', Piccinini G. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
74', Bonfanti G. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,
74', Lind A. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
82', Pontisso S. 🟨,
82', Pontisso S. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
85', Calabresi A. 🟨,
90', Moreo S. ↓, Abildgaard O. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 1.
Recent matches Catanzaro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Pisa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Pisa will have a mini benefit in this match.
There are questionable in Pisa: Esteves T.
(Tendon Injury)
Leris M.
(Injury)
Meister H.
(Illness)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 0.8:0.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1:0).
Italy
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Pigliacelli M. (G) 
Antonini Lui M. 
Situm M. 
Toure I. 
Marin M. 
Lind A. 
Coulibaly M. 
Jevsenak Z. 
Tramoni M. 
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