Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Amica Wronki Stadium (Wronki)


	Lech Poznań		Dundee

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.75	4.5
	1.74	3.87	3.95	Watch
	1.85	3.9	3.92	Watch
	1.68	3.8	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.25)	3.83 ↑ (3.58)	4.14 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
53.2%

Draw
24.3%

Dundee
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.6%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

25.4%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lech Poznań's performance.

Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dundee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lech Poznań that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dundee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lech Poznań - Dundee Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Bednarek F. (G) 5. Andersson E. 25. Antczak J. 50. Ba Loua A. 9. Ishak M. 6. Kozubal A. 10. Marchwinski F. 16. Milic A. 2. Pereira J. 55. Pingot M. 7. Sousa A.	1. McCracken J. (G) 4. Astley R. 10. Cameron L. 16. Ingram E. 9. Main C. 17. McCowan L. (C) 6. McGhee J. 23. Palmer-Houlden S. 29. Portales J. 19. Robertson F. 21. Trialist
Substitutes
. Brzyski I. . Gmur T. . Medrala M. (G) . Stankiewicz I. . Wilak F. . Wolowiec K.	24. Anderson M. 22. Corrigan F. 25. Graham L. 2. Kerr C. 13. Legzdins A. (G) 14. Lochhead 15. Mulligan J. 18. Reilly C. 27. Richardson J. 20. Rudden Z. 30. Sharp H. (G) 28. Sylla M. 7. Tiffoney S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Palmer-Houlden S. ⚽,
72', McGhee J. ↓, Reilly C. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

Lech is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dundee is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Dundee have a series of guest games.

Lech will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Baník Ostrava - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.05.24	Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce	1:2 ✺
19.05.24	Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTL
- Dundee FC
Club Friendly
03.07.24	Baník Ostrava - Dundee	0:3 ✺
29.06.24	Arbroath - Dundee	1:3 ✺
Scottish Premier League
18.05.24	Dundee - Kilmarnock	1:1 ✺
14.05.24	Glasgow Rangers - Dundee	5:2 ✺
11.05.24	Hearts - Dundee	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLL

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