Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Poznan (Poznań)

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lech Poznań		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	1.17	8	13
	1.21	6.25	11
	1.19	6.4	12.5
	1.16	8.14	17.37
	1.2	7.18	13.45	Watch
	1.17	6.5	13
	1.18	8.05	12.5
	1.23	6.33	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.25)	7.11 ↑ (6.02)	12.98 ↑ (11.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
79.4%

Draw
13.3%

KuPS Kuopio
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.1%

15.8%

8.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	15.8%	0%

Lech Poznań - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Lech (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - Lech (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - KuPS (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lech Poznań will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 9 - 90%). KuPS (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 72. Skrzypczak M. 16. Milic A. 15. Gurgul M. 99. Rodriguez P. 43. Kozubal A. 88. Ismaheel T. 10. Walemark P. 77. Palma L. 9. Ishak M. (C)	1. Kreidl J. (G) 29. Puukko A. 23. Lotjonen A. 33. Hamalainen T. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 34. Ruoppi O. 13. Kujasalo N. 24. Armah B. 9. Engvall G. 8. Pennanen P. (C)
Substitutes
7. Agnero Y. 1. Andreev P. (G) 14. Bengtsson L. 3. Douglas A. 8. Gholizadeh A. 20. Gumny R. 11. Hakans D. 27. Monka W. 4. Moutinho J. 6. Ouma T. 33. Pruchniewski M. (G) 23. Thordarson G.	17. Heinonen A. 28. Kivijarvi J. 22. Lahtela V. 26. Mattila N. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 32. Tikkanen R.
Coaches
Frederiksen N.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Puukko A. ↓, Tikkanen R. ↑,
29', Milic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ismaheel T. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
60', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
60', Walemark P. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Rodriguez P. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
70', Milic A. ↓, Douglas A. ↑,
75', Rodriguez P. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
79', Tikkanen R. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
84', Hakans D. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-0. Second leg.

Lech is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

KuPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Lech has had a series of away games.

Recently, KuPS has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lech is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Lech: Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Jagiello F. (Injury) Murawski R. (Surgery)

There will not play in KuPS: Heinonen A. (Inactive) Heiskanen S. (Inactive) Kabuye C. (Inactive) Luyeye-Lutumba J. (Red Card) Ward K. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

KuPS: 0.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.02.26	Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	KuPS Kuopio - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.02.26	Lech Poznań - Piast Gliwice	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL
- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.26	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	KuPS Kuopio - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.02.26	KuPS Kuopio - Ilves	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	KuPS Kuopio - Lech Poznań	0:2

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