Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Amica Wronki Stadium (Wronki)


	Lech Poznań 2		Pogoń Szczecin II

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.5
	1.65	4.15	3.8
	1.80	4.10	3.47	Watch
	1.67	4.05	3.95	Watch
	1.76	4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	4.02 ↑ (3.93)	3.68 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
52.7%

Draw
22.6%

Pogoń Szczecin II
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

23.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

22.3%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Pogoń Szczecin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Czaplinski J. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Delikat K. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Jakobczyk K. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 1, Jakobczyk K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech 2 won 2.

Lech 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pogoń Szczecin II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lech 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lech 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lech 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lech Poznań 2	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie	6:0 ✺
17.09.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Noteć Czarnków	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lech Poznań 2	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLTW
- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Września - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Luzino - Pogoń Szczecin II	6:0 ✺
31.08.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Pogoń Szczecin II	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.05.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	1:1
26.10.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	4:2
01.05.19	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	3:2
29.09.18	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:0
14.04.18	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:2
09.09.17	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	1:4

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