Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Lech Poznań 2		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.85	3.4	2.2
	2.84	3.59	2.27
	2.84	3.59	2.27
	2.7	3.4	2.1
	2.76	3.54	2.19	Watch
	2.85	3.55	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.5)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	2.21 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
32.6%

Draw
26.2%

Polonia Bytom
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.7%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

28.5%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Bytom's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Bytom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pruchniewski M. (G) 23. Dziuba M. 15. Juszczyk B. 16. Kornobis I. 3. Kukulka K. 17. Lisman K. 22. Nadolski A. 14. Olejnik P. 7. Orlowski M. 4. Tomaszewski B. 5. Wichtowski M.	39. Mirus E. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 22. Bedronka M. 18. Gajda T. 8. Jopek S. 25. Konieczny D. 26. Lawrynowicz I. 29. Piekarski A. 6. Scislak D. 16. Stefanski P. 19. Wolny D.
Substitutes
6. Cywka T. 13. Niedzielski J. 10. Pawlowski S. 21. Pietrzak M. 1. Stachowiak A. (G) . Stankiewicz I. 2. Tudruj M. 8. Zoladz B.	24. Budzik D. 33. Hajduk K. (G) 15. Krzemien D. 14. Norkowski L. 28. Ochwat G. 30. Radkiewicz N. 9. Ropski K. 2. Szmigiel M. 10. Zagiel F.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Lech 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polonia Bytom is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Polonia Bytom could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Polonia Bytom have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
08.11.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Hutnik	4:3 ✺
20.10.23	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Lech Poznań 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWLL
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Cup
08.11.23	Polonia Bytom - Arka Gdynia	1:3 ET ✺
Polish Division 2
03.11.23	Polonia Bytom - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Polonia Bytom - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Polonia Bytom	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Polonia Bytom - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL

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