Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 14

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	Canal+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Lech Poznań		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	8	Watch
	1.37	5	7.5
	1.36	4.75	8	Watch
	1.37	5.15	8.8
	1.37	5.15	8.77
	1.29	4.75	8	Watch
	1.35	5	8.3	Watch
	1.36	4.9	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)	4.93 ↑ (4.75)	8.15 ↑ (7.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
69.4%

Draw
19.1%

Ruch Chorzów
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

19.5%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

18.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	0%	17.4%

Lech Poznań - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Mrozek B. (G) 23. Blazic M. 16. Milic A. 5. Andersson E. 2. Pereira J. 6. Karlstrom J. 30. Kvekveskiri N. 50. Ba Loua A. 10. Marchwinski F. 9. Ishak M. (C) 11. Velde K.	31. Kaminski K. (G) 2. Kasolik K. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 77. Bartolewski M. 5. Wojtowicz T. 6. Swedrowski T. 28. Podstawski T. 26. Michalski K. 70. Kozak M. 95. Szczepan D. 7. Letniowski J.
Substitutes
35. Bednarek F. (G) 44. Czerwinski A. 3. Douglas B. 8. Gholizadeh A. 55. Pingot M. 7. Sousa A. 17. Szymczak F. 54. Wilak F.	24. Baranski B. 82. Bielecki J. (G) 19. Feliks M. 10. Foszmanczyk T. 13. Moneta L. 8. Sikora P. 18. Steczyk D. 4. Szur P. 20. Szymanski S.
Coaches
van den Brom J.	Skrobacz J.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lech won 5.

Lech is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruch Chorzów is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ruch Chorzów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lech is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Lech: Salamon B. (Doping)

There will not play in Ruch Chorzów: Barnowski D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lech: Hotic D. (Injury) Sousa A. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Lech to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Lech won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 39-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Lech won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Polish Cup
31.10.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Lech Poznań	0:4 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.10.23	Cracovia - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:3 ✺
21.10.23	Lech Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	3:1 ✺
06.10.23	Lech Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTTWW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.10.23	Ruch Chorzów - Śląsk Wrocław	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Szczecin	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
27.09.23	Legia II - Ruch Chorzów	3:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Raków Częstochowa	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
22.04.17	Lech Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	3:0
04.11.16	Ruch Chorzów - Lech Poznań	0:5
Polish Cup
21.09.16	Ruch Chorzów - Lech Poznań	0:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.05.16	Lech Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	3:0
12.03.16	Ruch Chorzów - Lech Poznań	1:3
17.10.15	Lech Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	2:2
Polish Cup
23.09.15	Lech Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	1:0

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