Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 9

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice)

Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Ruch Chorzów		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.66	3.89	1.77
	4.33	3.4	1.67	Watch
	4.5	3.74	1.75	Watch
	4.45	3.65	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↓ (6.03)	3.67 ↓ (3.98)	1.74 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
20.6%

Draw
25.5%

Raków Częstochowa
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

23.7%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

23.2%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raków Częstochowa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ruch Chorzów that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raków Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Ruch Chorzów - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Raków will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buchalik M. (G) 4. Szur P. 25. Baranowski P. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 26. Michalski K. 20. Szymanski S. 28. Podstawski T. 5. Wojtowicz T. 70. Kozak M. 6. Swedrowski T. 95. Szczepan D.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 15. Kovacevic A. 66. Papanikolaou G. (C) 21. Drachal D. 5. Berggren G. 8. Lederman B. 14. Plavsic S. 11. Yeboah J. 27. Nowak B. 9. Zwolinski L.
Substitutes
24. Baranski B. 82. Bielecki J. (G) 27. Dlugosz W. 19. Feliks M. 10. Foszmanczyk T. 7. Letniowski J. 16. Sedlak J. 18. Steczyk D. 71. Szywacz R.	77. Cebula M. 19. Crnac A. 93. Kittel S. 30. Kochergin V. 33. Pestka K. 99. Piasecki F. 3. Rundic M. 22. Sorescu D. 12. Tsiftsis A. (G)
Coaches
Skrobacz J.	Szwarga D.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Ruch Chorzów is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Raków is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ruch Chorzów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Raków is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.09.23	Górnik Zabrze - Ruch Chorzów	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Mielec	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Piast Gliwice - Ruch Chorzów	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Ruch Chorzów - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTL
- Raków Częstochowa
UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Atalanta - Raków Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.09.23	Raków Częstochowa - ŁKS Łódź	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.08.23	Copenhagen - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
22.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
09.05.18	Raków Częstochowa - Ruch Chorzów	2:1
13.10.17	Ruch Chorzów - Raków Częstochowa	1:0
Club Friendly
29.06.16	Ruch Chorzów - Raków Częstochowa	1:0

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