Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Lech Poznań 2		Chojniczanka Chojnice

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.95
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.44	3.5	2.02
	3.44	3.5	2.02
	3.2	3.4	1.85
	3.3	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.35	3.55	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.5)	3.46 ↑ (3.15)	1.97 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
27.5%

Draw
26.3%

Chojniczanka Chojnice
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29.2%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

28.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lech Poznań 2's form might have worsened.

Chojniczanka Chojnice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chojniczanka Chojnice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chojniczanka Chojnice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lech Poznań 2 - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pruchniewski M. (G) 25. Dagerstal F. 5. Gurgul M. 16. Kornobis I. 3. Kukulka K. 22. Nadolski A. 14. Olejnik P. 7. Orlowski M. 19. Sobiech A. 4. Tomaszewski B. 11. Wilak F.	29. Primel D. (G) 14. Edmundsson A. 11. Firmino A. 4. Golak S. 79. Kozina M. 34. Nowacki D. 6. Paprzycki O. 77. Pralat A. 26. Raburski C. 19. Szczytniewski S. 10. Szumilas W.
Substitutes
1. Dozynkiewicz K. (G) 2. Tudruj M.	80. Banach D. 8. Boczek T. 21. Golinski J. 17. Mikolajczak T. 33. Szablowski S. (G) 7. Szczepanek B.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).

Lech 2 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chojniczanka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lech 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lech 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Lech 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
12.11.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Bytom	1:0 ✺
08.11.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Hutnik	4:3 ✺
20.10.23	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWL
- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
18.11.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Wisła Puławy	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Polonia Bytom - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
28.07.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Lech Poznań 2	1:0
27.04.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Lech Poznań 2	2:0
16.10.21	Lech Poznań 2 - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:2
05.06.21	Lech Poznań 2 - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:2
12.12.20	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Lech Poznań 2	3:0

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