Match Info

Date: 7 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Polsat Plus Arena (Gdańsk)

Referee: Tschudi L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Lechia Gdańsk		AP Brera Strumica

	1	X	2
	1.11	8	17
	1.11	8.5	21
	1.09	8.35	21
	1.1	10	25
	1.12	7.97	22.26
				Watch
	1.09	8.5	23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.36)	8.55 ↑ (4.2)	21.54 ↑ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Gdańsk
84.7%

Draw
10.9%

AP Brera Strumica
4.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

21.7%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

22.9%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Gdańsk's performance.

AP Brera Strumica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AP Brera Strumica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AP Brera Strumica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lechia Gdańsk - AP Brera Strumica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Lechia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akademija Pandev is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Akademija Pandev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Akademija Pandev have a series of guest games.

In this match Lechia is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Gdańsk
Club Friendly
30.06.22	Radomiak Radom - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
22.06.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.05.22	Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
14.05.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin	0:0 ✺
08.05.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLTW
- AP Brera Strumica
Club Friendly
29.06.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia - AP Brera Strumica	3:1 ✺
25.06.22	Levski Sofia - AP Brera Strumica	3:1 ✺
21.06.22	Cherno More Varna - AP Brera Strumica	1:2 ✺
17.06.22	AP Brera Strumica - Ballkani	1:6 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
15.05.22	Shkupi - AP Brera Strumica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWLL

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