Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/128-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Leek Town		Bromsgrove Sporting

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.95	3.65
	1.82	3.88	3.66
	1.68	4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.05)	3.94 ↑ (3.73)	3.7 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leek Town
52.2%

Draw
23.2%

Bromsgrove Sporting
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

24.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

23.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leek Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leek Town's performance.

Bromsgrove Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bromsgrove Sporting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leek Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bromsgrove Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leek Town - Bromsgrove Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, ⚽,
82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Leek has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bromsgrove has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bromsgrove may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leek is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Hebburn Town - Leek Town	3:3 ✺
11.10.25	Leek Town - Lancaster City	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Halesowen Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
20.09.25	Leek Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Leek Town - Hednesford Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLL
- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
21.10.25	Worcester City - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Harborough Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
14.10.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Stamford	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Barwell - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWTW

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