Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/32-finals

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Southport		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.15	5.3
	1.48	4.25	5.2
	1.5	4.51	5.46	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.45	4.15	5.91
	1.52	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)	4.16 ↓ (4.35)	5.4 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
61.2%

Draw
21.9%

Leek Town
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

20.8%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

20.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Southport - Leek Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, Sze C. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Sze C. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Gnahoua A. ⚽,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Southport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Southport is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
06.12.25	AFC Telford United - Southport	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	Southport - Radcliffe	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Southport - Kidderminster Harriers	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Buxton - Southport	2:3 ✺
English National League North
11.11.25	Southport - Chester	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 TWTWT
- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
06.12.25	Guiseley - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
02.12.25	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Leek Town - Workington	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Whitby Town - Leek Town	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Leek Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LWTWW

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