Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Leek Town		Stocksbridge Park Steels

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.15	2.98
	2.45	3.52	2.65	Watch
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.15	3.18	3.11
	2.45	3.4	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.88)	3.25 ↓ (3.42)	2.82 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leek Town
39.6%

Draw
28.1%

Stocksbridge Park Steels
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leek Town's form might have worsened.

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stocksbridge Park Steels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leek Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stocksbridge Park Steels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leek Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Tinker J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, Turner K. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Leek has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stocksbridge's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Leek has had a series of away games.

Leek could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
20.12.25	Rushall Olympic - Leek Town	5:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Southport - Leek Town	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
06.12.25	Guiseley - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
02.12.25	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Leek Town - Workington	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWT
- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
13.12.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1 ✺
10.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - United of Manchester	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Lancaster City	1:4 ✺
22.11.25	Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTLW

Upcoming Matches