Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Rushall Olympic		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.45	2.78
	2.24	3.39	2.8
	2.28	3.61	2.82	Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.2	3.66	2.93
	2.08	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.51)	3.49 ↓ (3.55)	2.89 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rushall Olympic
42.2%

Draw
26.2%

Leek Town
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.6%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rushall Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rushall Olympic's performance.

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leek Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rushall Olympic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leek Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rushall Olympic - Leek Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Clayton-Phillips N. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Abdullah M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 3 - 0, Moore A. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, ⚽,
88', 4 - 1, McAlinden L. ⚽,
90+2', 5 - 1, McAlinden L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Rushall has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leek has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Leek has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rushall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rushall Olympic
English NPL Premier Division
13.12.25	Rushall Olympic - Warrington Town	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	Rushall Olympic - Hebburn Town	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Morpeth Town - Rushall Olympic	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Rushall Olympic - Workington	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Rushall Olympic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTT
- Leek Town
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Southport - Leek Town	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
06.12.25	Guiseley - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
02.12.25	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Leek Town - Workington	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Whitby Town - Leek Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.08.25	Leek Town - Rushall Olympic	0:3

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