Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 26

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+


	Leganés		Getafe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.65	2.8
				Watch
	3.16	2.75	2.92
				Watch
	3	2.75	2.8
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.25)	2.72 ↓ (2.79)	2.84 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
31.3%

Draw
35.1%

Getafe
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

34.4%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

35.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Getafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.5%	46.3%	34.1%

Leganés - Getafe Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 8 - 20%). Getafe will win (votes: 14 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 60.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 12. Rosier V. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 3. Saenz J. 22. Nastasic M. 20. Hernandez J. 10. Raba D. 8. Cisse S. 17. Neyou Y. 14. Brasanac D. 9. de la Fuente M.	13. Soria D. (G) 21. Iglesias J. 2. Djene (C) 4. Berrocal J. 16. Rico D. 11. Terrats R. 8. Arambarri M. 12. Nyom A. 6. Uche C. 14. Bernat J. 9. Mayoral B.
Substitutes
2. Altimira A. 36. Alvin (G) 24. Chicco J. 11. Cruz J. 18. Duk 19. Garcia D. 21. Lopez R. 7. Rodriguez O. 1. Soriano J. (G)	29. Gomez da Costa C. 24. Juanmi 36. Keita A. 1. Letacek J. (G) 37. Lohr L. 5. Milla L. 17. Perez C. 19. Peter Federico 18. Rodriguez A. 20. Santiago Y. 7. Sola A. 10. Yildirim B.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Bordalas Jimenez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Bernat J. ↓, Juanmi ↑,
56', Nyom A. ↓, Milla L. ↑,
60', Brasanac D. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
71', Hernandez J. 🟨,
77', de la Fuente M. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
78', Raba D. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
86', Arambarri M. 🟨,
88', Terrats R. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Garcia D. ⚽, Rosier V. (A),
90+5', Neyou Y. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 1.

Leganés has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Getafe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Munir El Haddadi (Red Card) Tapia R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Getafe: Duarte D. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Getafe: Alderete O. (Hip Injury) Milla L. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Leganés won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:10 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
23.02.25	Real Sociedad - Leganés	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Leganés - Deportivo Alavés	3:3 ✺
09.02.25	Valencia - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.02.25	Leganés - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
31.01.25	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Getafe CF
Spanish LaLiga
23.02.25	Getafe - Betis	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Girona - Getafe	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Deportivo Alavés - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.25	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	5:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.25	Getafe - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
22.09.24	Getafe - Leganés	1:1
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Getafe - Leganés	1:0
16.07.22	Leganés - Getafe	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
17.01.20	Leganés - Getafe	0:3
19.10.19	Getafe - Leganés	2:0
30.03.19	Getafe - Leganés	0:2
07.12.18	Leganés - Getafe	1:1

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