Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Ecuador	DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Leganés		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	3.25	Watch
	2.32	2.98	3.2
	2.49	3.05	3.35
	2.22	3.02	3.54	Watch
	2.45	3.02	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.19)	2.99 ↓ (3.26)	3.3 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
40%

Draw
31.5%

Las Palmas
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Leganés - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 3. Saenz J. (C) 2. Marvel 17. Garcia N. 10. Cruz J. 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 11. Duk 19. Garcia D. 9. de la Fuente M.	1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 4. Alex Suarez (C) 6. Sergio Barcia 3. Marmol M. 14. Fuster M. 12. Loiodice E. 16. Amatucci L. 22. Garcia A. 25. Lukovic M. 8. Gil I.
Substitutes
21. Campos A. 22. Figueredo S. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 23. Millan A. 5. Miquel I. 18. Pauwels B. 7. Pena R. 13. San Roman M. (G) 27. Sy A.	13. Caro J. (G) 18. Cedeno E. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 10. Jese 7. Mata J. 24. Pejino 27. Pezzolesi V. 9. Recoba J. 35. Suarez A. (G) 21. Viera J.
Coaches
Lopez P.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Garcia D. 🟨,
19', Marmol M. 🟨,
34', Lukovic M. 🟨,
43', Cisse S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gil I. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽, Fuster M. (A),
55', Saenz J. 🟨,
60', Cisse S. 🟨,
65', Garcia D. ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
65', Garcia N. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
65', de la Fuente M. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
70', Lukovic M. ↓, Jese ↑,
72', Duk ↓, Figueredo S. ↑,
72', Cruz J. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
75', Sergio Barcia 🟨,
87', Garcia A. 🟨,
88', Garcia A. ↓, Cedeno E. ↑,
89', Loiodice E. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
90+3', Alex Suarez ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
90+6', Diawara A. 🟨,
90+6', Lopez R. 🟨,
90+7', Millan A. 🟨,
90+8', Marvin 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leganés will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Leganés: Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Pezzolesi V. (Red Card) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Viti (Health problems)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
14.09.25	Granada - Leganés	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Leonesa - Leganés	0:0 ✺
01.09.25	Leganés - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Leganés - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Huesca - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTTT
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
12.09.25	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Las Palmas - Málaga	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Córdoba - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
17.08.25	Las Palmas - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
18.05.25	Las Palmas - Leganés	0:1
25.08.24	Leganés - Las Palmas	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
18.02.23	Leganés - Las Palmas	0:0
09.09.22	Las Palmas - Leganés	1:0
28.03.22	Las Palmas - Leganés	4:2
28.11.21	Leganés - Las Palmas	4:1
24.01.21	Las Palmas - Leganés	2:1

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