Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Ecuador	DSports 6
Hungary	Spiler1 TV
Mexico	Sky Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DSports 6
Usa	ESPN+


	Leganés		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.3
	2.18	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.31	3.47	3.17
	2.33	3.23	3.18	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3
	2.26	3.46	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.88)	3.37 ↓ (3.64)	3.15 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
42.3%

Draw
27.9%

Mirandés
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leganés's form might have worsened.

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirandés's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leganés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirandés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	14.3%	9.5%

Leganés - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Mirandés will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 58% – 94.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Leganés (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. (C) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 10. Cruz J. 9. Rodriguez D. 17. Garcia N. 19. Garcia D.	13. Juanpa (G) 2. Novoa Ramos H. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 15. Cabello J. 3. Medrano F. 18. Bauza R. 6. Helguera T. 28. Hernandez J. 29. Houary A. 30. El Jebari S. 48. del Cura U.
Substitutes
12. Asue L. 21. Campos A. 11. Duk 22. Figueredo S. 15. Franquesa E. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 14. Lopez R. 23. Millan A. 20. Plano O. 4. Pulido R. 13. San Roman M. (G)	16. Clua S. 24. Cordoba I. 10. Fernandez C. 11. Malsa M. 19. Maras N. 42. Martinez Landa J. 8. Martin Luis A. 1. Nikic I. (G) 4. Pascual M. 17. Perez P. 21. Postigo S. 27. Tamarit T.
Coaches
Martinez C.	Muneta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
25', Garcia D. 🟨,
34', Hernandez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Garcia D. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
66', Houary A. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Millan A. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
74', Cruz J. 🟨,
75', Helguera T. ↓, Pascual M. ↑,
75', Novoa Ramos H. ↓, Martinez Landa J. ↑,
75', Rodriguez D. ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
75', Pena R. ↓, Pulido R. ↑,
75', Garcia N. ↓, Franquesa E. ↑,
82', Cisse S. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
83', El Jebari S. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
84', del Cura U. 🟨,
90+6', Marvel 🟨,
90+8', Juanpa 🟨,
90+9', Martin Luis A. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2.

Leganés has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mirandés has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mirandés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leganés could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leganés: Leiva M. (Inactive) Saenz J. (Injury)

There will not play in Mirandés: Balde S. (Injury) Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Mari A. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Mirandés: Clua S. (Injury) Fernandez C. (Injury) Houary A. (Inactive) Sia D. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:5. (average 1.5:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Leganes	9	3	2	4	6:14	-8	11

Last Results with these Odds

Mirandés - the odds 3.96 are the expected chance of winning is 23.84%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Cádiz - Leganés	3:0 ✺
18.05.26	Leganés - Huesca	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Leganés - Racing Santander	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Leganés	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Leganés - FC Andorra	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Mirandés - Granada	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Mirandés - Eibar	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Almería - Mirandés	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Mirandés - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.25	Mirandés - Leganés	0:0
17.03.24	Leganés - Mirandés	4:0
24.09.23	Mirandés - Leganés	1:3
25.02.23	Mirandés - Leganés	0:0
06.12.22	Leganés - Mirandés	2:2
06.03.22	Leganés - Mirandés	2:0
26.09.21	Mirandés - Leganés	1:2

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