Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 39

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+, DSports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leganés		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.8	2.2	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.25
	2.82	3.6	2.22	Watch
	2.98	3.8	2.34
	2.95	3.56	2.31	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.25
	2.93	3.77	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.78)	3.66 ↑ (3.59)	2.27 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
33%

Draw
25.6%

Racing Santander
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

26.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

25.7%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	23.1%	69.2%

Leganés - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Racing will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 17. Garcia N. 11. Duk 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 10. Cruz J. 9. Rodriguez D. 19. Garcia D. (C)	13. Eriksson S. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 4. Manu 21. Ramon P. 32. Salinas J. 14. Gueye M. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 7. Guliashvili G.
Substitutes
12. Asue L. 21. Campos A. 22. Figueredo S. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 23. Millan A. 7. Pena R. 20. Plano O. 4. Pulido R. 48. Rodriguez G. 13. San Roman M. (G)	8. Aldasoro A. 9. Arana J. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 44. Chino 1. Ezkieta J. (G) 3. Garcia M. 17. Mata J. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 12. Villalibre A.
Coaches
Oca I.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Diawara A. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Gueye M. ⚽, Guliashvili G. (A),
36', Puerta G. 🟨,
45+1', Duk 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Vicente I. 🟨,
55', Soriano J. 🟨,
55', Diawara A. ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
67', Martin A. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
67', Guliashvili G. ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
70', Garcia D. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
70', Rodriguez D. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
77', Cisse S. 🟨,
79', Aguilar Lopez G. ↓, Pulido R. ↑,
79', Cisse S. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Villalibre A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Puerta G. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
90+1', Ramon P. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
90+2', Canales P. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
90+3', Marvel 🟨,
90+8', Millan A. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 2, Asue L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 1.

Leganés has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Racing is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leganés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Leganés: Franquesa E. (Inactive) Leiva M. (Inactive) Lopez R. (Red Card) Melero G. (Inactive) Pena R. (Muscle Injury) Saenz J. (Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Lozano M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Miquel I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Manu (Injury)

We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 2.27.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Santander - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.7%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
01.05.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Leganés	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Leganés - FC Andorra	0:4 ✺
17.04.26	Las Palmas - Leganés	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Almería - Leganés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
03.05.26	Racing Santander - Huesca	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Ceuta - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Real Sociedad B - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Racing Santander - Almería	5:1 ✺
05.04.26	FC Andorra - Racing Santander	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Racing Santander - Leganés	1:1
24.02.24	Racing Santander - Leganés	2:1
29.09.23	Leganés - Racing Santander	2:1
13.02.23	Racing Santander - Leganés	2:1
29.10.22	Leganés - Racing Santander	0:0
21.02.15	Racing Santander - Leganés	1:2
21.09.14	Leganés - Racing Santander	2:2

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