Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 13

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Pulido J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Leganés		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.75	Watch
	2.85	2.87	2.75
	2.9	2.95	2.8	Watch
	3	2.96	2.88
	2.91	2.92	2.87	Watch
	2.9	3	2.7
	2.99	3.09	2.8	Watch
	2.9	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.99)	2.96 ↓ (3.07)	2.79 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
33.1%

Draw
32.5%

Sevilla
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

31.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

33.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	69%	16.7%

Leganés - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 6 - 14.3%). Sevilla will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 69%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 2. Altimira A. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 22. Nastasic M. 15. Franquesa E. 5. Tapia R. 8. Cisse S. 11. Cruz J. 14. Brasanac D. 23. Munir El Haddadi 9. de la Fuente M.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 32. Carmona J. A. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 4. Salas K. 3. Pedrosa A. 18. Agoume L. 12. Lokonga A. S. 20. Sow D. 11. Lukebakio D. 7. Romero I. 9. Iheanacho K.
Substitutes
36. Alvin (G) 24. Chicco J. 27. Garcia N. 18. Haller S. 20. Hernandez J. 21. Lopez R. 4. Porozo J. 7. Rodriguez O. 12. Rosier V. 3. Saenz J. 1. Soriano J. (G)	33. Arbol M. (G) 19. Barco V. 41. Dominguez I. 31. Flores A. (G) 23. Marcao 35. Martinez R. 15. Montiel G. 16. Navas J. 8. Ortiz P. 14. Peque 26. Sanchez J.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Garcia Pimienta F. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Franquesa E. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
69', Cisse S. 🟨,
73', Iheanacho K. ↓, Navas J. ↑,
76', Tapia R. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,
76', Cruz J. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
81', Agoume L. 🟥,
82', 1 - 0, de la Fuente M. (Pen),
87', Gudelj N. 🟨,
88', Sow D. ↓, Peque ↑,
88', Carmona J. A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
89', Cisse S. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leganés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Leganés: Neyou Y. (Yellow Cards) Raba D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Bade L. (Injury) Ejuke C. (Muscle Injury) Idumbo S. (Muscle Injury) Nianzou T. (Injury) Niguez S. (Muscle Injury) Nyland O. (Ankle Injury) Suso (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Garcia D. (Muscle Injury) Garcia N. (Injury) Saenz J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Leganés won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:16 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.24	Girona - Leganés	4:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Leganés	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
27.10.24	Leganés - Celta de Vigo	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Atlético Madrid - Leganés	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Leganés - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
03.11.24	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Las Rozas - Sevilla	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.24	Espanyol - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Barcelona - Sevilla	5:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sevilla - Betis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.21	Leganés - Sevilla	0:1 ET
Spanish LaLiga
30.06.20	Leganés - Sevilla	0:3
01.12.19	Sevilla - Leganés	1:0
03.05.19	Sevilla - Leganés	0:3
23.12.18	Leganés - Sevilla	1:1
18.03.18	Leganés - Sevilla	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.02.18	Sevilla - Leganés	2:0

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