Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 21

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Greece	Nova Sports 4
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leganés		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.22	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.24	3.08	3.55	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.36	3.06	3.44	Watch
	2.25	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.43)	3.03 ↓ (3.07)	3.42 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leganés
41.6%

Draw
31%

Valladolid
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.8%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

31.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	50%	8.3%

Leganés - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Valladolid will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Leganés (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Valladolid (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Valladolid (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. (C) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 2. Marvel 15. Franquesa E. 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 20. Plano O. 10. Cruz J. 23. Millan A. 17. Garcia N.	13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. 23. Jaouab M. 4. Torres D. 30. Modesto H. 6. Lachuer M. 24. Juric S. (C) 21. Ponceau J. 22. Peter Federico 25. Erlien V. 7. Canos S.
Substitutes
21. Campos A. 9. de la Fuente M. 19. Garcia D. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 36. Leiva M. 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 5. Miquel I. 18. Pauwels B. 3. Saenz J. 13. San Roman M. (G)	1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 34. Aranda J. L. 19. Arnuncio A. 17. Biuk S. 20. Chuki 27. Garriel I. 16. Maroto M. 5. Martinez R. 2. Trilli
Coaches
Oca I.	Tevenet L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Cruz J. (Penalty Awarded),
11', Jaouab M. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Millan A. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 2 - 0, Jaouab M. (Own goal),
45+6', Peter Federico 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jaouab M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
46', Ponceau J. ↓, Chuki ↑,
46', Franquesa E. 🟨,
55', Cisse S. 🟨,
61', Cisse S. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
61', Plano O. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
67', Lachuer M. ↓, Maroto M. ↑,
68', Canos S. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
70', Lopez R. 🟨,
72', Franquesa E. ↓, Miquel I. ↑,
72', Millan A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
76', Pena R. 🟨,
80', 3 - 0, Lopez R. ⚽, Garcia N. (A),
81', Cruz J. ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
83', Erlien V. ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Leganés: Figueredo S. (Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Valladolid: Garriel I. (Knee Injury) Latasa J. (Yellow Cards) Marcos Andre (Injury) Meseguer Cavas V. A. (Yellow Cards) Ndiaye A. (Injury) Tomeo P. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Leganés: Duk (Injury)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Delgado J. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Leganes	9	3	2	4	6:14	-8	11
17	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Leganés	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Racing Santander - Leganés	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Leganés - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTTL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.26	Valladolid - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Eibar - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Valladolid - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Huesca - Valladolid	1:4 ✺
29.11.25	Valladolid - Málaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.05.25	Leganés - Valladolid	3:0
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Leganés - Valladolid	3:1
Spanish LaLiga
28.08.24	Valladolid - Leganés	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
03.02.24	Leganés - Valladolid	0:0
17.11.23	Valladolid - Leganés	1:1
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Leganés - Valladolid	4:1
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Valladolid - Leganés	1:0

Upcoming Matches