Match Info

POLAND: POLISH CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday


	Legia II		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	8	5.25	1.26
				Watch
	8.01	5.56	1.28
	9	5	1.25
	9.1	5.3	1.28	Watch
	13	5.4	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.42 ↑ (8.1)	5.3 ↑ (4.75)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia II
9.8%

Draw
17.3%

Ruch Chorzów
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

19.6%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

12.7%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-28.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Legia II - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Legia II will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zielinski J. 23. Graczewski S. 16. Konik P. . Mozdzen M. (C) 30. Pich R. 3. Rose L. 21. Saganowski F. 9. Stangret M. 8. Waniek A. 26. Wnorowski K. 24. Ziolkowski J.	82. Bielecki J. (G) 25. Baranowski P. 27. Dlugosz W. 19. Feliks M. 10. Foszmanczyk T. (C) 7. Letniowski J. 16. Sedlak J. 88. Skwierczynski K. 18. Steczyk D. 4. Szur P. 71. Szywacz R.
Substitutes
18. Byrtek D. 15. Kieras S. 5. Korczakowski I. 27. Pchelka C. 22. Pucilowski W. 11. Ryczkowski A. 12. Szajewski P. (G) 17. Tadrowski J. 20. Zieba M.	24. Baranski B. 1. Buchalik M. (G) 9. Firlej M. 70. Kozak M. 26. Michalski K. 28. Podstawski T. 8. Sikora P. 20. Szymanski S. 5. Wojtowicz T.

Preview

Legia II is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ruch Chorzów is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ruch Chorzów could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ruch Chorzów is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.09.23	Legia II - Unia Skierniewice	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Legia II	1:1 ✺
03.09.23	Mławianka Mława - Legia II	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Legia II - Concordia Elbląg	5:0 ✺
23.08.23	Broń Radom - Legia II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTTWT
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Raków Częstochowa	3:5 ✺
15.09.23	Górnik Zabrze - Ruch Chorzów	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Mielec	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Piast Gliwice - Ruch Chorzów	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTT

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