Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Chorzów)


	Ruch Chorzów		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.35	1.98
	3.33	3.37	1.99
	3.48	3.43	1.96	Watch
	3.6	3.58	2.02	Watch
	3.35	3.35	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.81)	3.42 ↓ (3.63)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
26.8%

Draw
26.9%

Piast Gliwice
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

25.6%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

24%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Szymanski J. (G) 26. Gora L. 15. Konczkowski M. 7. Kozak M. 23. Mezghrani M. 11. Myszor J. 14. Nono 86. Novothny S. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 20. Szymanski S. 25. Ventura D.	26. Plach F. (G) 6. Chrapek M. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 7. Felix J. 70. Katsantonis A. 36. Lewicki J. 22. Mokwa T. 14. Nobrega M. 39. Rosolek M. 30. Szczepanski M. 20. Tomasiewicz G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Szczepanski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
60', 0 - 2, Kadzior D. ⚽,
63', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
77', 0 - 3, Piasecki F. ⚽,
79', 0 - 4, Kadzior D. ⚽,
85', 1 - 4, Chmarek M. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 1.

Recent matches Ruch Chorzów is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Piast is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Piast could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ruch Chorzów have a series of guest games.

Piast will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:21 (average 0.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:15 (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
04.10.24	Ruch Chorzów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
16.09.24	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.10.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Hutnik - Piast Gliwice	3:4 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.24	Widzew Łódź - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Piast Gliwice - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
01.03.24	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	3:0
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	0:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.08.23	Piast Gliwice - Ruch Chorzów	0:0
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	0:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.05.17	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	0:3
03.04.17	Ruch Chorzów - Piast Gliwice	0:0
15.10.16	Piast Gliwice - Ruch Chorzów	2:1

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