Match Info

Date: 4 November 2021, Thursday


	Legia Warsaw		Napoli

	1	X	2
	8	4.75	1.36
	8	5	1.37
	7.4	5.2	1.4
	7.6	4.8	1.37
	7.73	5.1	1.41
	8	4.75	1.38
	8.5	5.2	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.89 ↑ (6.86)	4.97 ↑ (4.8)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
12.1%

Draw
19.2%

Napoli
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

19.8%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

11.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-30.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	6.1%	84.8%

Legia Warsaw - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (112 of 132 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.73% – 90.97%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Legia has currently - 6, has a chance of 1st (16%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (35%), has a chance of round of 16 (23%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Napoli has currently - 4, has a good chance of 1st (52%), has a chance of 2nd (25%), has a chance of 3rd (17%), has a good chance of round of 16 (67%), has a chance of qtrs (44%), has a chance of semis (28%), has a chance of final (18%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Legia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Napoli in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Napoli is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Legia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.10.21	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.21	Swit Skolwin - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.10.21	Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.10.21	Napoli - Legia Warsaw	3:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.10.21	Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
31.10.21	Salernitana - Napoli	0:1 ✺
28.10.21	Napoli - Bologna	3:0 ✺
24.10.21	Roma - Napoli	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.10.21	Napoli - Legia Warsaw	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.21	Napoli - Torino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.10.21	Napoli - Legia Warsaw	3:0
10.12.15	Napoli - Legia Warsaw	5:2
01.10.15	Legia Warsaw - Napoli	0:2

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