Match Info

Serie A - Round 28

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Napoli		Torino

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	7	Watch
	1.49	4.2	6.75
	1.58	3.7	6.9	Watch
	1.58	3.9	7.3
	1.55	3.94	6.95	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.6	4	7.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.45)	3.89 ↓ (4.34)	6.87 ↓ (7.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
61.6%

Draw
24.5%

Torino
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

21.9%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

21%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.5%	3%	4.5%

Napoli - Torino Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Napoli (1.98) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1.5 - Torino (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (3.42) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (62 of 66 users predict this - 93.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.18% – 99.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 26 - 92.9%). Torino (votes: 2 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 17. Olivera M. 4. Buongiorno A. 5. Juan Jesus 21. Politano M. (C) 6. Gilmour B. 20. Elmas E. 37. Spinazzola L. 26. Vergara A. 27. Alisson Santos 19. Hojlund R.	1. Paleari A. (G) 23. Coco S. 44. Ismajli A. 77. Ebosse E. 20. Lazaro V. 66. Gineitis G. 4. Prati M. 10. Vlasic N. 33. Obrador R. 18. Simeone G. 91. Zapata D. (C)
Substitutes
99. Anguissa F. 31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 11. De Bruyne K. 23. Giovane 3. Gutierrez M. 9. Lukaku R. 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G)	19. Adams C. 14. Anjorin F. 34. Biraghi C. 22. Casadei C. 8. Ilic I. 6. Ilkhan E. 81. Israel F. (G) 17. Kulenovic S. 35. Marianucci L. 13. Maripan G. 92. Njie A. 25. Nkounkou N. 16. Pedersen M. 99. Siviero L. (G) 61. Tameze A.
Coaches
Conte A.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Alisson Santos ⚽, Spinazzola L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vergara A. ↓, Anguissa F. ↑,
57', Zapata D. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
57', Obrador R. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
63', Gineitis G. 🟨,
64', Ismajli A. 🟨,
67', Simeone G. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
67', Gineitis G. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Elmas E. ⚽, Politano M. (A),
69', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
73', Lazaro V. 🟨,
78', Prati M. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
79', Alisson Santos ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
84', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
84', Hojlund R. ↓, Lukaku R. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Casadei C. ⚽, Adams C. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.

Recent performances by Napoli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Napoli is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) McTominay S. (Muscle Injury) Rrahmani A. (Injury)

There will not play in Torino: Savva Z. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Aboukhlal Z. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 3.78% Torino: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Napoli - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
28.02.26	Verona - Napoli	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Atalanta - Napoli	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Napoli - Roma	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.02.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
07.02.26	Genoa - Napoli	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTLW
- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
01.03.26	Torino - Lazio	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Genoa - Torino	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Torino - Bologna	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Fiorentina - Torino	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.02.26	Inter Milan - Torino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Torino - Napoli	1:0
27.04.25	Napoli - Torino	2:0
01.12.24	Torino - Napoli	0:1
08.03.24	Napoli - Torino	1:1
07.01.24	Torino - Napoli	3:0
19.03.23	Torino - Napoli	0:4
01.10.22	Napoli - Torino	3:1

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