Match Info

Serie A - Round 28

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Football
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	14:45	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV4
Romania	21:45	Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+
Vietnam	02:45	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
International	19:45	Starzplay Sports app


	Napoli		Torino

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	7	Watch
	1.49	4.2	6.75
	1.58	3.7	6.9	Watch
	1.58	3.9	7.3
	1.55	3.94	6.95	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.6	4	7.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.45)	3.89 ↓ (4.34)	6.87 ↓ (7.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Napoli
61.6%

Draw
24.5%

Torino
13.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.8%

21.9%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.5%	3%	4.5%

Napoli - Torino Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Napoli (1.98) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1.5 - Torino (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (3.42) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (62 of 66 users predict this - 93.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.18% – 99.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 26 - 92.9%). Torino (votes: 2 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 17. Olivera M. 4. Buongiorno A. 5. Juan Jesus 21. Politano M. (C) 6. Gilmour B. 20. Elmas E. 37. Spinazzola L. 26. Vergara A. 27. Alisson Santos 19. Hojlund R.	1. Paleari A. (G) 23. Coco S. 44. Ismajli A. 77. Ebosse E. 20. Lazaro V. 66. Gineitis G. 4. Prati M. 10. Vlasic N. 33. Obrador R. 18. Simeone G. 91. Zapata D. (C)
Substitutes
99. Anguissa F. 31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 11. De Bruyne K. 23. Giovane 3. Gutierrez M. 9. Lukaku R. 30. Mazzocchi P. 1. Meret A. (G)	19. Adams C. 14. Anjorin F. 34. Biraghi C. 22. Casadei C. 8. Ilic I. 6. Ilkhan E. 81. Israel F. (G) 17. Kulenovic S. 35. Marianucci L. 13. Maripan G. 92. Njie A. 25. Nkounkou N. 16. Pedersen M. 99. Siviero L. (G) 61. Tameze A.
Coaches
Conte A.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Alisson Santos ⚽, Spinazzola L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vergara A. ↓, Anguissa F. ↑,
57', Zapata D. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
57', Obrador R. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
63', Gineitis G. 🟨,
64', Ismajli A. 🟨,
67', Simeone G. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
67', Gineitis G. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Elmas E. ⚽, Politano M. (A),
69', Spinazzola L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
73', Lazaro V. 🟨,
78', Prati M. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
79', Alisson Santos ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
84', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
84', Hojlund R. ↓, Lukaku R. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Casadei C. ⚽, Adams C. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.

Recent performances by Napoli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Napoli is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: David Neres (Ankle Injury) Di Lorenzo G. (Knee Injury) McTominay S. (Muscle Injury) Rrahmani A. (Injury)

There will not play in Torino: Savva Z. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Anguissa F. (Thigh Injury) De Bruyne K. (Thigh Injury) Lobotka S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Aboukhlal Z. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	6	14
9	Torino	9	4	1	4	14:14	0	13

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Napoli: 1.41% Torino: 0.07%

Last Results with these Odds

Napoli - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
28.02.26	Verona - Napoli	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Atalanta - Napoli	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Napoli - Roma	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.02.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
07.02.26	Genoa - Napoli	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTLW
- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
01.03.26	Torino - Lazio	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Genoa - Torino	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Torino - Bologna	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Fiorentina - Torino	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.02.26	Inter Milan - Torino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Torino - Napoli	1:0
27.04.25	Napoli - Torino	2:0
01.12.24	Torino - Napoli	0:1
08.03.24	Napoli - Torino	1:1
07.01.24	Torino - Napoli	3:0
19.03.23	Torino - Napoli	0:4
01.10.22	Napoli - Torino	3:1

Upcoming Matches