Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 11

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Belgium	15:00	Eleven Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 3
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	15:00	Premier Sport 2
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	15:00	beIN Sports
Hungary	15:00	Sport 1
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV2
Romania	16:00	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	15:00	CMore Fotboll, TV4


	Salernitana		Napoli

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.4	Watch
	7	4.8	1.41
	7.3	4.9	1.4	Watch
	8	5.18	1.41
	7.79	5.16	1.41
	8	5	1.33
	8.7	5.3	1.35	Watch
	7.4	5.2	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.65 ↑ (5.72)	5.07 ↑ (4.54)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
12.5%

Draw
18.8%

Napoli
68.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.6%

20.9%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

20.5%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Napoli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.7%	2.4%	92.9%

Salernitana - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (118 of 127 users predict this - 92.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.45% – 97.37%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ochoa G. (G) 30. Mazzocchi P. 17. Fazio F. (C) 98. Pirola L. 3. Bradaric D. 99. Legowski M. 18. Coulibaly L. 33. Tchaouna L. 87. Candreva A. 10. Dia B. 22. Ikwuemesi C.	1. Meret A. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 55. Ostigard L. 13. Rrahmani A. 17. Olivera M. 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 20. Zielinski P. 21. Politano M. 81. Raspadori G. 77. Kvaratskhelia K.
Substitutes
8. Bohinen E. 11. Botheim E. 28. Bronn D. 56. Costil B. (G) 5. Daniliuc F. 1. Fiorillo V. (G) 20. Kastanos G. 66. Lovato M. 25. Maggiore G. 7. Martegani A. 6. Sambia J. 19. Stewart T.	24. Cajuste J. 14. Contini N. (G) 50. D'Avino L. 4. Demme D. 7. Elmas E. 70. Gaetano G. 95. Gollini P. (G) 5. Juan Jesus 29. Lindstrom J. 6. Rui M. 18. Simeone G. 59. Zanoli A. 23. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Inzaghi F.	Garcia R.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: )).

Salernitana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Napoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Napoli is certain favorite.

There will not play in Salernitana: Gyomber N. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Napoli: Natan (Red Card) Osimhen V. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Napoli: Juan Jesus (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Coppa Italia
31.10.23	Salernitana - Sampdoria	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
27.10.23	Genoa - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Salernitana - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Monza - Salernitana	3:0 ✺
30.09.23	Salernitana - Inter Milan	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTLL
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
29.10.23	Napoli - Milan	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Union Berlin - Napoli	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.10.23	Verona - Napoli	1:3 ✺
08.10.23	Napoli - Fiorentina	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Napoli - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
30.04.23	Napoli - Salernitana	1:1
21.01.23	Salernitana - Napoli	0:2
23.01.22	Napoli - Salernitana	4:1
31.10.21	Salernitana - Napoli	0:1

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