Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 33

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Mario Sandrini (Legnago)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Legnago Salus		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	2.85	3.15	2.42
	2.48	3.26	2.67	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.38
	2.85	3.05	2.38	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.72)	3.1 ↓ (3.23)	2.38 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legnago Salus
31.8%

Draw
29.6%

Lucchese
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legnago Salus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legnago Salus than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Legnago Salus - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Perucchini F. (G) 4. Tanco G. J. 26. Noce M. 5. Koblar L. 27. Ampollini F. 25. Bombagi F. (C) 19. Diaby A. 23. Muteba V. 93. Franzolini A. 9. Svidercoschi S. 99. Basso Ricci A.	59. Melgrati R. (G) 27. Gucher R. 5. Benedetti S. 3. Rizzo N. 30. Gemignani A. 31. Catanese G. 21. Visconti E. 96. Galli G. 23. Ballarini M. 9. Magnaghi S. 10. Selvini A.
Substitutes
12. Bajari L. (G) 73. Ballan L. 8. Casarotti E. 6. Dore S. 70. Leoncini M. 7. Morello M. 18. Peschetola L. 1. Rigon A. (G) 21. Ruggeri G. 17. Spalluto S. 11. Zanetti L.	29. Antoni E. 20. Badje I. 26. Cartano R. 1. Coletta J. (G) 2. da Silva J. 19. Fedato F. 80. Gheza F. 15. Salomaa H. 24. Welbeck N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
33', Catanese G. 🟨,
36', Diaby A. ↓, Casarotti E. ↑,
36', Catanese G. ↓, Welbeck N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gemignani A. ↓, Cartano R. ↑,
46', Koblar L. ↓, Leoncini M. ↑,
64', Cartano R. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Ampollini F. ⚽,
71', Svidercoschi S. ↓, Spalluto S. ↑,
71', Leoncini M. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
74', Magnaghi S. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
82', Galli G. ↓, Antoni E. ↑,
82', Selvini A. ↓, Badje I. ↑,
84', Basso Ricci A. 🟨,
90+4', Ampollini F. 🟨,
90+4', Badje I. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Legnago Salus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lucchese will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Legnago Salus: Bombagi F. (Yellow Cards) Zanandrea G. (Muscle Injury) Zanetti L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lucchese: Saporiti E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lucchese: Tumbarello G. (Inactive)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Legnago Salus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Legnago Salus
Italian Serie C Group B
15.03.25	Perugia - Legnago Salus	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Legnago Salus - Rimini	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Sassari Torres - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Legnago Salus - Milan Futuro	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Gubbio - Legnago Salus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 LLTWW
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
15.03.25	Lucchese - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Lucchese - Virtus Entella	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Pescara - Lucchese	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Lucchese - Carpi	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Sestri Levante - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.11.24	Lucchese - Legnago Salus	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
21.08.21	Legnago Salus - Lucchese	0:3

Legnago Salus - Lucchese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide