The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lucchese 14.6%
Draw 25%
Virtus Entella 60.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.7%
26.8%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
25.5%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucchese's form might have worsened.
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus Entella's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus Entella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Lucchese - Virtus Entella Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
59. Melgrati R. (G) 29. Antoni E. 23. Ballarini M. 5. Benedetti S. 31. Catanese G. 30. Gemignani A. 27. Gucher R. 9. Magnaghi S. 3. Rizzo N. 10. Selvini A. 21. Visconti E.
22. Del Frate F. (G) 27. Boccadamo A. 9. Castelli D. 26. Di Mario S. 47. Di Noia G. 11. Fall M. 24. Franzoni A. 8. Karic N. 15. Marconi I. 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A.
Substitutes
12. Allegrucci L. (G) 20. Badje I. 26. Cartano R. 1. Coletta J. (G) 2. da Silva J. 19. Fedato F. 96. Galli G. 6. Gasbarro A. 80. Gheza F. 71. Moschella M. 17. Mozzillo M. 15. Salomaa H. 24. Welbeck N.
70. Bariti D. 10. Casarotto M. 14. Corbari A. 40. Costa G. 2. Garattoni A. 77. Guiu B. 21. Lipani J. 5. Motoc A. 43. Ndrecka A. 90. Portanova D. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 92. Vandelli F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Ballarini M. ⚽,
35', Antoni E. 🟨,
38', Di Noia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ballarini M. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
53', Di Noia G. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
53', Di Mario S. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Boccadamo A. ⚽,
59', Fall M. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
59', Antoni E. ↓, Welbeck N. ↑,
75', Benedetti S. 🟨,
78', Melgrati R. 🟨,
78', Gemignani A. ↓, Cartano R. ↑,
78', Magnaghi S. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Fedato F. ⚽,
80', Boccadamo A. ↓, Ndrecka A. ↑,
80', Franzoni A. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
90+2', Galli G. 🟨,
90+3', Selvini A. ↓, Badje I. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Marconi I. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1.
Recent matches Lucchese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Virtus Entella is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Virtus Entella is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 0.8:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.3:0.3).
Italy
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Melgrati R. (G) 
Gucher R. 
Karic N. 
Badje I. 
da Silva J. 
Salomaa H. 
Welbeck N. 
Guiu B. 
Motoc A. 
Ndrecka A. 
Siaulys O. (G) 
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