Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 32

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Porta Elisa (Lucca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Lucchese		Campobasso

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	2.8
	2.47	3	2.95
	2.57	2.89	3.02
	2.54	2.89	3.09	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.9
	2.47	2.77	3	Watch
	2.47	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.35)	2.91 ↓ (3.09)	2.96 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
37.2%

Draw
31.7%

Campobasso
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.9%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Lucchese - Campobasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
59. Melgrati R. (G) 6. Gasbarro A. 3. Rizzo N. 5. Benedetti S. 30. Gemignani A. 31. Catanese G. 27. Gucher R. 96. Galli G. 21. Visconti E. 10. Selvini A. 9. Magnaghi S.	1. Neri F. (G) 6. Benassai F. 25. Calabrese B. 66. Remy M. 19. Morelli G. 36. Serra A. 71. Cerretelli F. 20. Martina A. 17. Lombari A. 97. Bifulco A. 9. Di Nardo A.
Substitutes
12. Allegrucci L. (G) 20. Badje I. 26. Cartano R. 1. Coletta J. (G) 2. da Silva J. 19. Fedato F. 80. Gheza F. 71. Moschella M. 17. Mozzillo M. 15. Salomaa H. 24. Welbeck N.	21. Barbato E. 26. Bigonzoni M. 4. Celesia C. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 73. Di Stefano L. 10. Falco F. 22. Forte F. (G) 7. Forte R. 33. Mancini D. 5. Mondonico D. 23. Pellitteri A. 28. Prezioso M.
Coaches
Gorgone G.	Prosperi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Gasbarro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gasbarro A. ↓, Welbeck N. ↑,
52', Bifulco A. ↓, D'Angelo Sonny ↑,
52', Lombari A. ↓, Di Stefano L. ↑,
59', Benassai F. 🟨,
64', Magnaghi S. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
66', Gucher R. 🟨,
66', D'Angelo Sonny 🟨,
68', Welbeck N. 🟨,
72', Remy M. 🟨,
78', Di Nardo A. 🟨,
79', Morelli G. ↓, Prezioso M. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Selvini A. (Pen),
83', 2 - 0, Selvini A. ⚽,
84', Serra A. ↓, Bigonzoni M. ↑,
84', Cerretelli F. ↓, Falco F. ↑,
90+2', Selvini A. ↓, Badje I. ↑,
90+2', Galli G. ↓, Cartano R. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Campobasso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Lucchese: Saporiti E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Campobasso: Bosisio M. (Inactive) Chiarello R. (Shoulder Injury) Pellitteri A. (Inactive) Pierno R. (Yellow Cards) Scorza C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lucchese: Tumbarello G. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.25	Lucchese - Virtus Entella	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Pescara - Lucchese	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Lucchese - Carpi	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Sestri Levante - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
17.02.25	Lucchese - Perugia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLTTW
- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
11.03.25	Campobasso - Ascoli	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Sestri Levante - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Campobasso - Pineto	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	SPAL - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Campobasso - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
03.11.24	Campobasso - Lucchese	3:0

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