Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Coote D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz ROA, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
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Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
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Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
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Finland	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay, V Sport 2
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Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Premier Sports 1 ROI
Usa	Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea
World	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Leicester City		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.85
	4.1	3.8	1.83
	4.05	3.95	1.88
	4.21	3.92	1.86
	3.95	3.86	1.93	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.85
	4.05	3.95	1.9	Watch
	4.05	3.95	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.13)	3.86 ↑ (3.79)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
23.7%

Draw
24.9%

Aston Villa
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

25.1%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

25.4%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.9%	8.5%	76.6%

Leicester City - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 7 - 15.2%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 35 - 76.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 63.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Justin J. 5. Okoli C. 3. Faes W. 16. Kristiansen V. 22. Skipp O. 6. Ndidi W. 8. Winks H. 7. Fatawu I. 9. Vardy J. (C) 18. Ayew J.	23. Martinez E. (G) 4. Konsa E. 26. Bogarde L. 14. Torres P. 12. Digne L. 31. Bailey L. 24. Onana A. 8. Tielemans Y. 7. McGinn J. (C) 27. Rogers M. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
40. Buonanotte F. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 11. El Khannouss B. 31. Iversen D. (G) 10. Mavididi S. 35. McAteer K. 21. Pereira R. 24. Soumare B. 23. Vestergaard J.	6. Barkley R. 10. Buendia E. 9. Duran J. 18. Gauci J. (G) 22. Maatsen I. 20. Nedeljkovic K. 41. Ramsey J. 50. Swinkels S. 48. Zych O. (G)
Coaches
Cooper S.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Onana A. 🟨,
16', Bailey L. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
26', Skipp O. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Onana A. ⚽, Watkins O. (A),
40', Tielemans Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Bogarde L. 🟨,
61', Watkins O. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
62', Onana A. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Duran J. ⚽, Digne L. (A),
68', Skipp O. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,
68', Fatawu I. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
69', Ayew J. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Buonanotte F. ⚽,
74', Okoli C. 🟨,
75', McGinn J. 🟨,
80', Bogarde L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
80', Ramsey J. ↓, Nedeljkovic K. ↑,
83', Vardy J. 🟨,
89', Ndidi W. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
90+2', Duran J. 🟨,
90+3', Okoli C. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
90+4', Winks H. 🟨,
90+7', Cooper S. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 2.

Leicester is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aston Villa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leicester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Daka P. (Ankle Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Stolarczyk J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Cash M. (Thigh Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) Mings T. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Leicester won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Cup
27.08.24	Leicester City - Tranmere Rovers	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.24	Fulham - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
19.08.24	Leicester City - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Lens - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
03.08.24	Augsburg - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLL
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
24.08.24	Aston Villa - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	West Ham United - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Borussia Dortmund - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Aston Villa - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
03.08.24	Club América - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
04.04.23	Leicester City - Aston Villa	1:2
04.02.23	Aston Villa - Leicester City	2:4
23.04.22	Leicester City - Aston Villa	0:0
05.12.21	Aston Villa - Leicester City	2:1
21.02.21	Aston Villa - Leicester City	1:2
18.10.20	Leicester City - Aston Villa	0:1
09.03.20	Leicester City - Aston Villa	4:0

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