Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Bescot Stadium (Walsall)


	Aston Villa		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.75	2.8
	2.2	3.75	2.9
	2.2	3.67	2.79
	2.23	3.76	2.85	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.8
	2.3	3.65	2.92	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.01)	3.69 ↓ (4)	2.85 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
42.3%

Draw
25.2%

Athletic Bilbao
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

23.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

24.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aston Villa - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Gauci J. (G) 31. Bailey L. 52. Bogarde L. 2. Cash M. 12. Digne L. 7. McGinn J. (C) 24. Onana A. 41. Ramsey J. 27. Rogers M. 8. Tielemans Y. 14. Torres P.	1. Padilla A. (G) 5. Alvarez Y. 17. Berchiche Y. 7. Berenguer A. 14. Djalo A. 2. Gorosabel A. 4. Paredes A. 24. Prados Diaz B. 8. Sancet O. 6. Vesga M. 9. Williams I.
Substitutes
. Archer C. 6. Barkley R. 10. Buendia E. 32. Dendoncker L. 17. Iling Junior S. 22. Maatsen I. 15. Moreno A. . Nedeljkovic K. 23. Philogene J. 5. Swinkels S. 1. Wright J. (G) 48. Zych O. (G)	3. Boiro A. 28. Canales P. 30. Dunabeitia A. 13. Gastesi O. (G) 20. Gomez U. 12. Guruzeta G. 21. Herrera A. 10. Jauregizar M. 19. Javier Marton 15. Lekue I. 11. Olabarrieta A. 22. Rincon Lumbreras H.
Coaches
Emery U.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Ramsey J. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Alvarez Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ramsey J. ↓, Philogene J. ↑,
46', Cash M. ↓, Nedeljkovic K. ↑,
46', Gauci J. ↓, Zych O. ↑,
46', Djalo A. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Philogene J. ⚽,
62', Torres P. ↓, Swinkels S. ↑,
62', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
62', Onana A. ↓, Dendoncker L. ↑,
62', McGinn J. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
62', Tielemans Y. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
62', Rogers M. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
62', Bailey L. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Guruzeta G. ⚽,
72', Prados Diaz B. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
72', Vesga M. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
72', Williams I. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
80', Berenguer A. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
80', Sancet O. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
80', Paredes A. ↓, Boiro A. ↑,
80', Berchiche Y. ↓, Canales P. ↑,
85', Gorosabel A. ↓, Dunabeitia A. ↑,
85', Alvarez Y. ↓, Rincon Lumbreras H. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Archer C. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Aston Villa have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Club América - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
31.07.24	RB Leipzig - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Columbus Crew - Aston Villa	4:1 ✺
20.07.24	Spartak Trnava - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
17.07.24	Walsall - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Athletic Bilbao
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Sporting Lisbon - Athletic Bilbao	3:0 ✺
24.07.24	Racing Santander - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Burgos - Athletic Bilbao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches