Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
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Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
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Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 7, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
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Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
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Kenya	Gotv, K24
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Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	UTV
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
Zambia	ZNBC 3


	Bournemouth		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.6	2.35
	2.82	3.6	2.42
	2.87	3.7	2.5
	2.86	3.72	2.42	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.4
	3.03	3.74	2.4	Watch
	2.83	3.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.77)	3.61 ↓ (3.84)	2.42 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
33.6%

Draw
26.6%

Aston Villa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

24.6%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.3%	27.7%	51.1%

Bournemouth - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 9 - 19.6%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 24 - 52.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 28.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 37.8% – 66.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 15 - 53.6%). Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bournemouth (2.09) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Bournemouth (2.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Aston Villa (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 9 - 24.3%). Aston Villa (votes: 19 - 51.4%). Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 4. Cook L. (C) 37. Rayan 22. Kroupi E. J. 21. Adli A. 9. Evanilson	23. Martinez E. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. (C) 5. Mings T. 12. Digne L. 21. Douglas Luiz 24. Onana A. 19. Sancho J. 10. Buendia E. 27. Rogers M. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
7. Brooks D. 10. Christie R. 51. Dacosta Gonzalez M. 18. Diakite B. 29. Mandas C. (G) 44. Milosavljevic V. 15. Smith A. 27. Toth A. 26. Unal E.	18. Abraham T. 31. Bailey L. 6. Barkley R. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 3. Lindelof V. 22. Maatsen I. 52. Proctor S. (G) 14. Torres P.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Rogers M. ⚽, Sancho J. (A),
35', Buendia E. 🟨,
35', Jimenez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Rayan ⚽, Hill J. (A),
65', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
66', Buendia E. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
77', Douglas Luiz ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
77', Sancho J. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
86', Digne L. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
86', Watkins O. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
86', Jimenez A. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
87', Rayan ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
90', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 0.

Bournemouth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Aston Villa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bournemouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Knee Injury) Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury) Soler J. (Injury) Tavernier M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Alysson (Injury) Garcia A. (Thigh Injury) Kamara B. (Knee Injury) McGinn J. (Knee Injury) Tielemans Y. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Brooks D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Aston Villa: Watkins O. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Aston Villa: 0.7% Bournemouth: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4:9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6:8	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Aston Villa - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 40.34%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
31.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
19.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	4:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWTLW
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
01.02.26	Aston Villa - Brentford	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Aston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
25.01.26	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
18.01.26	Aston Villa - Everton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
09.11.25	Aston Villa - Bournemouth	4:0
10.05.25	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	0:1
26.10.24	Aston Villa - Bournemouth	1:1
21.04.24	Aston Villa - Bournemouth	3:1
03.12.23	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	2:2
18.03.23	Aston Villa - Bournemouth	3:0
06.08.22	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	2:0

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