Match Info

Date: 16 September 2021, Thursday


	Leicester City		Napoli

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.87
	2.4	3.3	3
	2.5	3.25	3
	2.46	3.15	2.85
	2.65	3.25	2.92
	2.38	3.4	2.88
	2.58	3.5	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.19)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	2.94 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
38.5%

Draw
28.9%

Napoli
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

20.5%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leicester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.7%	24.2%	41.1%

Leicester City - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 95 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 33 - 34.7%). Napoli will win (votes: 39 - 41.1%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 31.2% – 51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Leicester has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (37%), has a chance of 2nd (41%), has a chance of 3rd (16%), has a good chance of round of 16 (57%), has a chance of qtrs (31%), has a chance of semis (16%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Napoli has currently - 0, has a good chance of 1st (55%), has a chance of 2nd (31%), has a small chance of 3rd (10%), has a good chance of round of 16 (73%), has a chance of qtrs (45%), has a chance of semis (26%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Recent matches Leicester is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Napoli is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leicester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Napoli have a series of home games.

Leicester will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
11.09.21	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
28.08.21	Norwich City - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
23.08.21	West Ham United - Leicester City	4:1 ✺
14.08.21	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
English FA Community Shield
07.08.21	Leicester City - Manchester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWW
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
11.09.21	Napoli - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.21	Napoli - Benevento	1:5 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.21	Genoa - Napoli	1:2 ✺
22.08.21	Napoli - Venezia	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.21	Napoli - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW

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