Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 19

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	11:30	ESPN
Armenia	18:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	01:30	Optus Sport
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	11:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	21:30	MyTV
Canada	09:30	fubo Sports Network
China	22:30	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:30	ESPN 2
Croatia	15:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	15:30	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	15:30	See, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	16:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	15:30	CANAL+ Foot
Georgia	18:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	15:30	RTL+, Sky Sport Mix
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	22:30	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	15:30	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	14:30	Siminn, Siminn Sport
India	20:00	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	21:30	Vidio
Iran	18:00	Persiana Sports
Ireland	14:30	NOW
Israel	16:30	Sport 2
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	23:30	U-NEXT
Malaysia	22:30	Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 3
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	08:30	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports Premium
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	Sky Sport 6, Sky Sport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Philippines	22:30	Setanta Sports
Poland	15:30	Canal+ Sport Online, CANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 1
Romania	16:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Serbia	15:30	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	22:30	Hub Premier 1, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	15:30	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	16:30	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	23:30	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	15:30	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	22:30	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	21:30	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	17:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	16:30	Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	14:30	beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
Usa	09:30	NBC Universo, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, USA Network
Venezuela	10:30	Inter
Vietnam	21:30	K+ Sport 1, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
International	14:30	Disney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Leicester City		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	9	6	1.29
	9.75	6.25	1.28
	11	6.4	1.28	Watch
	8.41	5.9	1.35
	9.76	6.1	1.31	Watch
	10	5.8	1.29
	9.85	6.32	1.31	Watch
	11	6.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.85 ↑ (8.39)	6.15 ↑ (5.93)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
9.8%

Draw
15.7%

Manchester City
74.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11.4%

16.2%

72.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

15.1%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.9%	10%	67.1%

Leicester City - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 15 - 22.4%). Man City will win (votes: 47 - 70.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 59.1% – 81.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 2. Justin J. 4. Coady C. 23. Vestergaard J. 16. Kristiansen V. 8. Winks H. 24. Soumare B. 40. Buonanotte F. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)	18. Ortega S. (G) 82. Lewis R. 25. Akanji M. 6. Ake N. 24. Gvardiol J. 8. Kovacic M. 47. Foden P. 17. De Bruyne K. (C) 20. Silva B. 26. Savinho 9. Haaland E.
Substitutes
37. Alves W. 17. Choudhury H. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 31. Iversen D. (G) 5. Okoli C. 22. Skipp O. 33. Thomas L. 57. Wilson-Brown T.	33. Carson S. (G) 11. Doku J. 10. Grealish J. 19. Gundogan I. 87. McAtee J. 67. Mubama D. 75. O'Reilly N. 66. Simpson-Pusey J. 2. Walker K.
Coaches
van Nistelrooy R.	Guardiola P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Savinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Soumare B. 🟨,
65', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
66', Foden P. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
70', Ake N. ↓, Walker K. ↑,
70', Justin J. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Haaland E. ⚽, Savinho (A),
79', Ortega S. 🟨,
85', Coady C. ↓, Okoli C. ↑,
85', Winks H. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
90', Mavididi S. ↓, Alves W. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Man City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Man City is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Ayew J. (Yellow Cards) Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Hermansen M. (Muscle Injury) Ndidi W. (Thigh Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Man City: Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Dias R. (Muscle Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Faes W. (Injury) McAteer K. (Knock) Vardy J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Man City: Ederson (Injury) Grealish J. (Injury) Stones J. (Ankle Injury) Walker K. (Illness)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Leicester won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 24:39 (average 1.2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:14 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
26.12.24	Liverpool - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
14.12.24	Newcastle United - Leicester City	4:0 ✺
08.12.24	Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
03.12.24	Leicester City - West Ham United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTW
- Manchester City
English Premier League
26.12.24	Manchester City - Everton	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Aston Villa - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Manchester City - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Juventus - Manchester City	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
07.12.24	Crystal Palace - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
15.04.23	Manchester City - Leicester City	3:1
29.10.22	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:1
26.12.21	Manchester City - Leicester City	6:3
11.09.21	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:1
English FA Community Shield
07.08.21	Leicester City - Manchester City	1:0
English Premier League
03.04.21	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:2
27.09.20	Manchester City - Leicester City	2:5

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