Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 19

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
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Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot
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Germany	RTL+, Sky Sport Mix
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India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
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Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
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Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports Premium
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New-zealand	Sky Sport 6, Sky Sport Premier League
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Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
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South-america	ESPN 2 South
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Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
Usa	NBC Universo, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, USA Network
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Leicester City		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	9	6	1.29
	9.75	6.25	1.28
	11	6.4	1.28	Watch
	8.41	5.9	1.35
	9.76	6.1	1.31	Watch
	10	5.8	1.29
	9.85	6.32	1.31	Watch
	11	6.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.85 ↑ (8.39)	6.15 ↑ (5.93)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
9.8%

Draw
15.7%

Manchester City
74.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

16.2%

72.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

15.1%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.9%	10%	67.1%

Leicester City - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 15 - 22.4%). Man City will win (votes: 47 - 70.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 59.1% – 81.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 2. Justin J. 4. Coady C. 23. Vestergaard J. 16. Kristiansen V. 8. Winks H. 24. Soumare B. 40. Buonanotte F. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)	18. Ortega S. (G) 82. Lewis R. 25. Akanji M. 6. Ake N. 24. Gvardiol J. 8. Kovacic M. 47. Foden P. 17. De Bruyne K. (C) 20. Silva B. 26. Savinho 9. Haaland E.
Substitutes
37. Alves W. 17. Choudhury H. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 31. Iversen D. (G) 5. Okoli C. 22. Skipp O. 33. Thomas L. 57. Wilson-Brown T.	33. Carson S. (G) 11. Doku J. 10. Grealish J. 19. Gundogan I. 87. McAtee J. 67. Mubama D. 75. O'Reilly N. 66. Simpson-Pusey J. 2. Walker K.
Coaches
van Nistelrooy R.	Guardiola P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Savinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Soumare B. 🟨,
65', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
66', Foden P. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
70', Ake N. ↓, Walker K. ↑,
70', Justin J. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Haaland E. ⚽, Savinho (A),
79', Ortega S. 🟨,
85', Coady C. ↓, Okoli C. ↑,
85', Winks H. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
90', Mavididi S. ↓, Alves W. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Man City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Man City is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Ayew J. (Yellow Cards) Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Hermansen M. (Muscle Injury) Ndidi W. (Thigh Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Man City: Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Dias R. (Muscle Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Faes W. (Injury) McAteer K. (Knock) Vardy J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Man City: Ederson (Injury) Grealish J. (Injury) Stones J. (Ankle Injury) Walker K. (Illness)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Leicester won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 24:39 (average 1.2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:14 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
26.12.24	Liverpool - Leicester City	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
14.12.24	Newcastle United - Leicester City	4:0 ✺
08.12.24	Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
03.12.24	Leicester City - West Ham United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLTW
- Manchester City
English Premier League
26.12.24	Manchester City - Everton	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Aston Villa - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Manchester City - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Juventus - Manchester City	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
07.12.24	Crystal Palace - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
15.04.23	Manchester City - Leicester City	3:1
29.10.22	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:1
26.12.21	Manchester City - Leicester City	6:3
11.09.21	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:1
English FA Community Shield
07.08.21	Leicester City - Manchester City	1:0
English Premier League
03.04.21	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:2
27.09.20	Manchester City - Leicester City	2:5

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