Match Info

Championship - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Carrow Road (Norwich)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Norwich City		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.92	3.56	2.33	Watch
	2.94	3.62	2.4
	2.76	3.62	2.38	Watch
	3.15	3.51	2.33	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.77)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	2.35 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
32.6%

Draw
26.9%

Leicester City
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.4%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	8.3%	50%

Norwich City - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Leicester will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Leicester (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 35. Fisher K. 5. Medic J. 6. Darling H. 23. McLean K. (C) 7. Mattsson P. 22. Topic M. 24. Makama J. 30. Kvistgaarden M. 29. Schwartau O. 9. Sargent J.	31. Begovic A. (G) 5. Okoli C. 23. Vestergaard J. 4. Nelson B. 21. Pereira R. (C) 8. Winks H. 22. Skipp O. 7. Fatawu I. 6. James J. 9. Ayew J. 20. Daka P.
Substitutes
4. Duffy S. 18. Forson A. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 10. Jurasek M. 11. Marcondes E. 15. McConville R. 46. Mundle Smith E. 42. Springett T. 16. Wright J.	18. Carranza J. 17. Choudhury H. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 3. Faes W. 10. Mavididi S. 28. Monga J. 24. Soumare B. 33. Thomas L. 13. Vieites F. (G)
Coaches
Manning L.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Pereira R. 🟨,
38', Nelson B. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 1 - 0, Kvistgaarden M. ⚽,
72', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Forson A. ↑,
72', Ayew J. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
73', Skipp O. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, De Cordova-Reid B. ⚽, Daka P. (A),
76', Darling H. 🟨,
81', Schwartau O. ↓, McConville R. ↑,
90', Okoli C. ↓, Faes W. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, James J. ⚽, Fatawu I. (A),
90+3', Makama J. ↓, Jurasek M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 1.

Norwich has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leicester is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Norwich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Hamstring Injury) Cordoba J. (Injury) Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Diallo P. A. (Muscle Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Gibbs L. (Inactive) Mahovo L. (Muscle Injury) Slimane A. (Thigh Injury) Stacey J. (Concussion)

There will not play in Leicester: Page L. (International duty) Ramsey A. (Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Stolarczyk J. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Norwich City - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.65%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Leicester City - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.33%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
05.11.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Norwich City - Hull City	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Swansea City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Derby County - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Norwich City - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- Leicester City
English League Championship
04.11.25	Leicester City - Middlesbrough	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Leicester City - Blackburn Rovers	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Millwall - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Hull City - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Leicester City - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.04.24	Leicester City - Norwich City	3:1
20.09.23	Norwich City - Leicester City	0:2
English Premier League
11.05.22	Leicester City - Norwich City	3:0
28.08.21	Norwich City - Leicester City	1:2
28.02.20	Norwich City - Leicester City	1:0
14.12.19	Leicester City - Norwich City	1:1
27.02.16	Leicester City - Norwich City	1:0

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