Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leicester City		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.4
	2.9	3.55	2.48
	3.05	3.5	2.44
	3.02	3.47	2.43	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.45
	3.02	3.53	2.44	Watch
	2.98	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.57)	3.46 ↓ (3.59)	2.43 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
32.5%

Draw
27.9%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	15.3%	10.6%

Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 84 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 63 - 75%). Wolverhampton will win (votes: 8 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 15.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 65.7% – 84.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ward D. (G) 2. Justin J. 4. Coady C. 23. Vestergaard J. 16. Kristiansen V. 24. Soumare B. 22. Skipp O. 11. El Khannouss B. 18. Ayew J. 10. Mavididi S. 9. Vardy J. (C)	1. Sa J. (G) 22. Semedo N. (C) 4. Bueno S. 24. Toti 2. Doherty M. 8. Gomes J. 7. Andre 19. Gomes R. 29. Guedes G. 10. Cunha M. 9. Larsen J. S.
Substitutes
40. Buonanotte F. 17. Choudhury H. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 3. Faes W. 31. Iversen D. (G) 5. Okoli C. 33. Thomas L. 8. Winks H.	27. Bellegarde J. 34. Cundle L. 15. Dawson C. 20. Doyle T. 26. Forbs C. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 31. Johnstone S. (G) 33. Meupiyou B. 37. Pedro Lima
Coaches
van Nistelrooy R.	Pereira V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Guedes G. ⚽, Semedo N. (A),
22', Vestergaard J. 🟨,
26', Soumare B. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Gomes R. ⚽, Doherty M. (A),
44', 0 - 3, Cunha M. ⚽, Guedes G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Skipp O. ↓, Winks H. ↑,
46', Vestergaard J. ↓, Faes W. ↑,
53', Justin J. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
54', El Khannouss B. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
74', Guedes G. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
83', Gomes R. ↓, Dawson C. ↑,
84', Larsen J. S. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
84', Ayew J. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
89', Semedo N. ↓, Forbs C. ↑,
89', Gomes J. ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leicester won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Ndidi W. (Thigh Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Pereira R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Ait-Nouri R. (Red Card) Gonzalez E. (Knee Injury) Kalajdzic S. (Knee Injury) Mosquera Y. (Knee Injury) Sarabia P. (Muscle Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: Edouard O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Hermansen M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Sa J. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Leicester won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:11 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Leicester won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English Premier League
14.12.24	Newcastle United - Leicester City	4:0 ✺
08.12.24	Leicester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
03.12.24	Leicester City - West Ham United	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Brentford - Leicester City	4:1 ✺
23.11.24	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWLL
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
14.12.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
09.12.24	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
04.12.24	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:0 ✺
30.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	2:4 ✺
23.11.24	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.04.23	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1
23.10.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City	0:4
20.02.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City	2:1
14.08.21	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0
07.02.21	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City	0:0
08.11.20	Leicester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0
14.02.20	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leicester City	0:0

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