Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday
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Leioa |
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Alavés C |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.15 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3.15 |
3.49 |
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 |
2.07 |
3.19 |
3.43 |
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2.05 |
3 |
3.4 |
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2.04 |
3.13 |
3.43 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.92) |
3.12 ↓
(3.27) |
3.4 ↓
(3.74) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leioa
44.2% | Draw
29.1% | Alavés C
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Alavés C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leioa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés C than the current prediction. (-3.5%)Leioa - Alavés C Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 7).Leioa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).Alavés C has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Leioa could have a small edge in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 9 |
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| 8 | Alaves C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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