Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 10

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Leiria		Caldas

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.9	3.25	3.8
	1.85	3.2	3.9
	1.92	3.29	4.52
	2.05	3	3.5
	1.82	3.24	4.15	Watch
	1.88	3.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.06)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)	3.98 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
48.4%

Draw
28.7%

Caldas
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.5%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caldas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caldas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Leiria - Caldas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiria won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Leiria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Leiria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Leiria won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 3
12.11.22	Fontinhas - Leiria	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Oliveira Hospital - Leiria	3:4 ✺
23.10.22	Amora - Leiria	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Leiria - Belenenses	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWLL
- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
13.11.22	Caldas - Amora	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Belenenses - Caldas	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Caldas - Real SC	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	1:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Caldas - Benfica	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
05.03.22	Caldas - Leiria	2:3
08.12.21	Leiria - Caldas	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.02.20	Leiria - Caldas	1:1
06.10.19	Caldas - Leiria	1:3
20.04.19	Caldas - Leiria	0:2
08.12.18	Leiria - Caldas	1:0

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